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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Deportes Concepcion v Unión La Calera

 Primera DivisionSun 11 Oct 20:30 UTCEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo

Deportes Concepcion v Unión La Calera tips

CONDeportes ConcepcionDLWD
VS
ULCUnión La CaleraWLLD
The model callDeportes ConcepcionMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Deportes Concepcion are priced at two point zero to win this fixture at home. Their recent form shows a win and two draws which gives them a steady edge over Union La Calera.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Deportes Concepcion are available at an attractive price of two point zero to win this match on their home turf.
  • The home side enters this fixture with a recent run of form that includes a solid win and two draws from four matches.
  • Union La Calera travel to Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo after suffering two defeats and a draw in their last four outings.
Why it might not
  • Deportes Concepcion have also recorded a defeat recently which shows they are certainly capable of slipping up.
  • Union La Calera did manage a victory in their recent sequence of matches and could prove stubborn opponents here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough inconsistency in their recent results to suggest neither defence will keep a clean sheet.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 2.15

The price of two point one five for over two point five goals offers decent value based on how these squads usually trade blows.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportes Concepcion the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Deportes Concepcion, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Deportes Concepcion are priced at two point zero to win this fixture at home. Their recent form shows a win and two draws which gives them a steady edge over Union La Calera.

Form and momentum

Deportes Concepcion come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Unión La Calera come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for CON, 29% for the draw and 25% for ULC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Deportes Concepcion, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportes Concepcion have also recorded a defeat recently which shows they are certainly capable of slipping up.
  • Union La Calera did manage a victory in their recent sequence of matches and could prove stubborn opponents here.
The bottom line

We back Deportes Concepcion for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCON +100
CON2.00draw3.15ULC3.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CONDeportes Concepcion4 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored3and let in3
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWD
ULCUnión La Calera4 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored2and let in3
  • On the road0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Concepcion or La Calera today?

Concepcion are priced at two point zero at home with a win and two draws giving them a steady edge. They did record a recent defeat though so they can definitely slip up. The site model calls Concepci...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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