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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Deportes Concepcion v Palestino

 Primera DivisionMon 2 Nov 23:30 UTCEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo

Deportes Concepcion v Palestino tips

CONDeportes ConcepcionDLWD
VS
PALPalestinoLWLW
The model callDeportes ConcepcionMatch result2.50★★★★1 star

Deportes Concepcion have home advantage at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo but their mixed recent form makes this a tight fixture against Palestino. The betting odds offer 2.50 for the home win which gives us a decent price to test.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25
Profit$15
Why it might land
  • Deportes Concepcion play this fixture at home inside Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo where they will try to use the local support to push for victory.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 2.50 for Deportes Concepcion to win which provides enough value to back the hosts in this match.
  • Deportes Concepcion recently managed a win and two draws in their last four outings which shows they can avoid defeat against difficult opponents.
Why it might not
  • Deportes Concepcion only managed one win in their last four matches which proves they struggle to turn draws into victories consistently.
  • Palestino come into this game with alternating results including two wins in their last four matches which makes them dangerous opponents on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed results in their recent runs which suggests an unpredictable match where both sides could find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We do not have enough data on goal totals from the bookmaker prices to form a strong opinion either way.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Deportes Concepcion the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Deportes Concepcion, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Deportes Concepcion have home advantage at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo but their mixed recent form makes this a tight fixture against Palestino. The betting odds offer 2.50 for the home win which gives us a decent price to test.

Form and momentum

Deportes Concepcion come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Palestino come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for CON, 27% for the draw and 36% for PAL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Deportes Concepcion only managed one win in their last four matches which proves they struggle to turn draws into victories consistently.
  • Palestino come into this game with alternating results including two wins in their last four matches which makes them dangerous opponents on the road.
The bottom line

We back Deportes Concepcion for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCON +150
CON2.50draw3.40PAL2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CONDeportes Concepcion4 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored3and let in3
  • At home0 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWD
PALPalestino4 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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