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Betting tips › Allsvenskan ›  Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF

 AllsvenskanMon 19 Oct 17:00 UTCStora Valla

Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF tips

DEGDegerfors IFLLWLL
VS
KFFKalmar FFLLLLD
The model callKalmar FFMatch result2.40★★★★1 star

Kalmar arrive in poor form yet find themselves priced as favourites at two point four zero away from home. Degerfors are struggling just as badly with four defeats from their last five matches.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$24
Profit$14
Why it might land
  • Kalmar are installed as the market favourites at a price of two point four zero to take three points on their travels.
  • Degerfors have suffered four defeats in their last five outings which highlights serious defensive fragility at Stora Valla.
  • The hosts lost four of their recent five matches and show very little momentum ahead of this crucial fixture.
Why it might not
  • Kalmar are on a miserable run of form that includes four straight defeats before a recent draw.
  • The visitors failed to win any of their last five matches which makes backing them at two point four zero a risk.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown any defensive stability in their latest results.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams are defending poorly based on their recent run of five matches each.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Kalmar FF the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Kalmar FF, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Kalmar arrive in poor form yet find themselves priced as favourites at two point four zero away from home. Degerfors are struggling just as badly with four defeats from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Degerfors IF come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Kalmar FF come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for DEG, 29% for the draw and 39% for KFF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Kalmar are on a miserable run of form that includes four straight defeats before a recent draw.
  • The visitors failed to win any of their last five matches which makes backing them at two point four zero a risk.
The bottom line

We back Kalmar FF for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsKFF +140
DEG2.90draw3.20KFF2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DEGDegerfors IF7 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored7and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWLL
KFFKalmar FF7 games on record
Won0
Drawn1
Lost6
  • Scored2and let in15
  • On the roadno winsfrom4
  • Right now4 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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