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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Defensa y Justicia v San Lorenzo

 Liga ProfesionalSat 3 Oct 17:45 UTCNorberto Tomaghello

Defensa y Justicia v San Lorenzo tips

DYJDefensa y JusticiaDWLWW
VS
SLOSan LorenzoLDWLD
The model callDefensa y JusticiaMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Defensa y Justicia are clearly the better side at the moment given their recent run of results. San Lorenzo continue to struggle for consistency and look vulnerable on the road.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Defensa y Justicia have won three of their last five matches which shows they are finding a rhythm that their opponents currently lack at the moment.
  • San Lorenzo arrive at the Norberto Tomaghello in poor form after losing their most recent match and failing to win in four of their last five games.
  • The price of 2.15 on a home win feels like decent value considering the hosts are playing with more confidence than the visitors ahead of this fixture.
Why it might not
  • Defensa y Justicia only managed a draw in their most recent outing which proves they are not completely immune to dropping points against determined opposition this season.
  • San Lorenzo could prove difficult to break down because they have managed to secure draws in two of their last five games despite their obvious current struggles.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown defensive lapses in their recent matches which creates a strong possibility for goals at both ends of the pitch.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice 1.51

The price of 1.51 suggests the market expects goals and both sides will likely push for a win to improve their standing.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Defensa y Justicia the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Defensa y Justicia, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Defensa y Justicia are clearly the better side at the moment given their recent run of results. San Lorenzo continue to struggle for consistency and look vulnerable on the road.

Form and momentum

Defensa y Justicia come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

San Lorenzo come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 43% for DYJ, 32% for the draw and 25% for SLO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Defensa y Justicia, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Defensa y Justicia only managed a draw in their most recent outing which proves they are not completely immune to dropping points against determined opposition this season.
  • San Lorenzo could prove difficult to break down because they have managed to secure draws in two of their last five games despite their obvious current struggles.
The bottom line

We back Defensa y Justicia for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDYJ +115
DYJ2.15draw2.85SLO3.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DYJDefensa y Justicia7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored10and let in6
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWW
SLOSan Lorenzo7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored3and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Defensa y Justicia v San Lorenzo thoughts?

The site model goes for Defensa y Justicia at 2.15. They are in better form and San Lorenzo struggle away from home. Yet Defensa only drew last time out so they can still drop points against stubborn ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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