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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Defensa y Justicia v Independiente

 Liga ProfesionalMon 2 Nov 22:00 UTCNorberto Tomaghello

Defensa y Justicia v Independiente tips

DYJDefensa y JusticiaDWLWW
VS
INDIndependienteWDWLD
The model callDefensa y JusticiaMatch result2.25★★★★2 stars

Defensa y Justicia hold a strong recent run of results at home and the price of 2.25 offers decent value here. Independiente arrive with mixed form which makes an away win harder to back.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$45
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Defensa y Justicia come into this fixture holding three wins from their last five matches across all recent league action.
  • The bookmakers offer a price of 2.25 on Defensa y Justicia to win which gives us a solid return for home form.
  • Independiente managed only one victory in their most recent five outings showing they struggle for consistency on the road.
Why it might not
  • Independiente managed to avoid defeat in four of their last five matches which shows they can be tough to beat.
  • Defensa y Justicia suffered a defeat recently in their five match sequence proving they are far from unbeatable.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Independiente and Defensa y Justicia both picked up plenty of draws and wins lately making goals likely at both ends.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed scoring form in recent weeks so a low scoring game could easily play out.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Defensa y Justicia the side to beat here at 42%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Defensa y Justicia, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Defensa y Justicia hold a strong recent run of results at home and the price of 2.25 offers decent value here. Independiente arrive with mixed form which makes an away win harder to back.

Form and momentum

Defensa y Justicia come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Independiente come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 42% for DYJ, 30% for the draw and 28% for IND once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Defensa y Justicia, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.25, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Independiente managed to avoid defeat in four of their last five matches which shows they can be tough to beat.
  • Defensa y Justicia suffered a defeat recently in their five match sequence proving they are far from unbeatable.
The bottom line

We back Defensa y Justicia for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsDYJ +125
DYJ2.25draw3.15IND3.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

DYJDefensa y Justicia7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored10and let in6
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWW
INDIndependiente7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored7and let in7
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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