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Betting tips › Eerste Divisie ›  De Graafschap v RKC Waalwijk

 Eerste DivisieFri 23 Oct 18:00 UTCDe Vijverberg

De Graafschap v RKC Waalwijk tips

GRADe GraafschapWLWLL
VS
RKCRKC WaalwijkLWWWD
The model callRKC WaalwijkMatch result2.40★★★★2 stars

Waalwijk arrives with far better momentum and a price of 2.40 to take all three points on Friday night. De Graafschap simply lacks consistency right now.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$48
Profit$28
Why it might land
  • Waalwijk enters this fixture on a strong run of form that includes three recent wins and a draw from their last five matches.
  • The visitors are priced attractively at 2.40 to secure an away victory against a very inconsistent opponent at De Vijverberg.
  • De Graafschap struggles to find any reliable rhythm after stumbling to three defeats across their most recent five outings.
Why it might not
  • Waalwijk suffered a loss recently which proves they are entirely capable of slipping up on their travels.
  • De Graafschap managed a win in their latest sequence of fixtures and could easily raise their game on home turf.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams leak enough goals in their recent fixtures to suggest that each side should find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

The line is set high at 3.5 goals and neither side shows the relentless scoring form to suggest that total is easily reached.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes RKC Waalwijk the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on RKC Waalwijk, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Waalwijk arrives with far better momentum and a price of 2.40 to take all three points on Friday night. De Graafschap simply lacks consistency right now.

Form and momentum

De Graafschap come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

RKC Waalwijk come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for GRA, 23% for the draw and 39% for RKC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Waalwijk suffered a loss recently which proves they are entirely capable of slipping up on their travels.
  • De Graafschap managed a win in their latest sequence of fixtures and could easily raise their game on home turf.
The bottom line

We back RKC Waalwijk for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsRKC +140
GRA2.45draw4.00RKC2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

GRADe Graafschap8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored9and let in20
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLL
RKCRKC Waalwijk7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored17and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

De Graafschap or Waalwijk tonight?

The site model goes for Waalwijk at 2.40 due to better momentum and home inconsistency for De Graafschap. However, Waalwijk lost recently so an away slip is clearly on the cards. What are you lot on f...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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