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Betting tips › Carabao Cup ›  Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough

 Carabao CupTue 8 Sept 18:45 UTCSelhurst ParkFinished

Crystal Palace v Middlesbrough tips

CRYCrystal PalaceWLLLD
3 : 0
MIDMiddlesbroughWDWWL
The model callCrystal PalaceMatch result1.74★★★★1 starWon

Palace play at Selhurst Park against Middlesbrough in the cup. Form is poor lately but home advantage might just count.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$17.4
Profit$7.4
Why it might land
  • Crystal Palace play this cup tie on their own ground tonight.
  • Middlesbrough arrive with patchy away form across recent weeks.
  • The bookmakers make the home side clear favourites at odds.
Why it might not
  • Palace lost three of their last five matches before tonight.
  • Middlesbrough put together some decent results lately in their games.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Middlesbrough arrive in decent scoring form so both sides should find the net here.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.61Won

Palace have been leaking goals lately and the price on three or more looks worth a punt.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Crystal Palace the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Crystal Palace, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Palace play at Selhurst Park against Middlesbrough in the cup. Form is poor lately but home advantage might just count.

Form and momentum

Crystal Palace come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 4 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Middlesbrough come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 9 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for CRY, 24% for the draw and 24% for MID once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Crystal Palace, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Palace lost three of their last five matches before tonight.
  • Middlesbrough put together some decent results lately in their games.
The bottom line

We back Crystal Palace for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCRY -130
CRY1.77draw3.80MID3.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CRYCrystal Palace40 games on record
Won12
Drawn11
Lost17
  • Scored45and let in59
  • At home4 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLD
MIDMiddlesbrough40 games on record
Won17
Drawn11
Lost12
  • Scored59and let in44
  • On the road9 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Are you backing Palace at 1.74 tonight?

The site model goes with Crystal Palace at 1.74 since home advantage at Selhurst Park might just count. The big doubt is that Palace lost three of their last five matches before tonight. What side are...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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