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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Cruzeiro v São Paulo

 BrasileiraoThu 8 Oct 00:30 UTCEstadio Mineirão

Cruzeiro v São Paulo tips

CRUCruzeiroWLWLW
VS
SAOSão PauloWLWWL
The model callCruzeiroMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Cruzeiro return to the Mineirão with a solid chance to take all three points against São Paulo. The price of 1.87 offers enough value given the erratic form of the visitors.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Cruzeiro return to their home ground at the Mineirão with a decent price of 1.87 to secure another victory.
  • The hosts bring patchy momentum into this match after alternating wins and losses across their last five fixtures.
  • São Paulo travel with identical inconsistent form showing three wins and two defeats in their most recent outings.
Why it might not
  • Cruzeiro show a worrying pattern of inconsistency by following every single win with a defeat in their last five games.
  • São Paulo remain fully capable of causing an upset on the road despite their recent mixed results in the league.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

The fluctuating form of both clubs suggests neither defence will keep a clean sheet during this league clash.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.91

Both sides trade wins and losses with regularity which often leads to open matches where goals arrive at both ends.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cruzeiro the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Cruzeiro, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Cruzeiro return to the Mineirão with a solid chance to take all three points against São Paulo. The price of 1.87 offers enough value given the erratic form of the visitors.

Form and momentum

Cruzeiro come in strong, winning 71% of 7 on record. 3 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

São Paulo come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 49% for CRU, 27% for the draw and 24% for SAO once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Cruzeiro, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cruzeiro show a worrying pattern of inconsistency by following every single win with a defeat in their last five games.
  • São Paulo remain fully capable of causing an upset on the road despite their recent mixed results in the league.
The bottom line

We back Cruzeiro for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCRU -115
CRU1.87draw3.40SAO3.90

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CRUCruzeiro7 games on record
Won5
Drawn0
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in10
  • At home3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLW
SAOSão Paulo7 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in7
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Cruzeiro or Sao Paulo this weekend?

The site model fancies Cruzeiro at 1.87 back at the Mineirao against a patchy Sao Paulo side. Problem is they keep following every win with a defeat in their last five matches. Are you having any of t...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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