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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Cruz Azul Hidalgo v Tlaxcala FC

 Liga de ExpansionSat 31 Oct 21:45 UTCEstadio 10 de Diciembre

Cruz Azul Hidalgo v Tlaxcala FC tips

CAHCruz Azul HidalgoLLDLW
VS
TLATlaxcala FCWLWDW
The model callTlaxcala FCMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars

Tlaxcala arrive in much better shape than their hosts and the betting prices reflect that edge nicely. Cruz Azul Hidalgo struggle for consistency after picking up four losses from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
  • Tlaxcala enter this fixture with three wins and a draw from their most recent five matches across the league.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo continue to struggle badly for results after suffering four defeats in their last five outings.
  • Bookmakers offer a very fair price of 2.30 for Tlaxcala to secure an away victory at Estadio 10 de Diciembre.
Why it might not
  • Tlaxcala suffered a recent defeat on the road which proves they can still stumble against weaker sides.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo managed to win one of their last five matches and could spring a surprise at home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Conceding goals in recent matches makes it likely that both defenses will crack before the final whistle.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides show erratic defensive records lately which could easily lead to an open match with several goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Tlaxcala FC the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Tlaxcala FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Tlaxcala arrive in much better shape than their hosts and the betting prices reflect that edge nicely. Cruz Azul Hidalgo struggle for consistency after picking up four losses from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Cruz Azul Hidalgo come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Tlaxcala FC come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for CAH, 26% for the draw and 39% for TLA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Tlaxcala suffered a recent defeat on the road which proves they can still stumble against weaker sides.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo managed to win one of their last five matches and could spring a surprise at home.
The bottom line

We back Tlaxcala FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsTLA +130
CAH2.60draw3.55TLA2.30

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAHCruz Azul Hidalgo6 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLW
TLATlaxcala FC6 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored13and let in11
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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