Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Cruz Azul Hidalgo v Mineros de Zacatecas

 Liga de ExpansionSat 17 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio 10 de Diciembre

Cruz Azul Hidalgo v Mineros de Zacatecas tips

CAHCruz Azul HidalgoLLDLW
VS
MDZMineros de ZacatecasWWLLW
The model callMineros de ZacatecasMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Mineros arrive with better recent momentum than their hosts and offer a fair price to take all three points on the road. Cruz Azul Hidalgo struggle for consistency and sit behind them in the recent form guide.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Mineros de Zacatecas won two of their last five matches to show they can find form on a regular basis.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo lost three of their last five fixtures which proves they are very vulnerable right now.
  • The bookmakers offer a very tempting price of 2.35 on the away win given how poor the hosts have looked.
Why it might not
  • Mineros de Zacatecas have also suffered two defeats in their last five matches which shows they can be beaten.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo did manage one recent victory and a draw so they might spring a surprise at home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Poor defensive records for both teams suggest they should each manage to find the back of the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides leak plenty of goals based on their recent losing outings so this could open up.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Mineros de Zacatecas the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Mineros de Zacatecas, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Mineros arrive with better recent momentum than their hosts and offer a fair price to take all three points on the road. Cruz Azul Hidalgo struggle for consistency and sit behind them in the recent form guide.

Form and momentum

Cruz Azul Hidalgo come in poor, winning 17% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Mineros de Zacatecas come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for CAH, 25% for the draw and 38% for MDZ once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Mineros de Zacatecas have also suffered two defeats in their last five matches which shows they can be beaten.
  • Cruz Azul Hidalgo did manage one recent victory and a draw so they might spring a surprise at home.
The bottom line

We back Mineros de Zacatecas for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMDZ +135
CAH2.50draw3.55MDZ2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAHCruz Azul Hidalgo6 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored9and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLW
MDZMineros de Zacatecas6 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored8and let in8
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Mineros away at Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Any thoughts?

The site model fancies Mineros de Zacatecas to win this one because they have better recent form than their hosts. They have lost two of their last five matches though so they are far from bulletproof...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW