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Betting tips › League Two ›  Crewe Alexandra v Shrewsbury Town

 League TwoSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCMornflake StadiumFinished

Crewe Alexandra v Shrewsbury Town tips

CAXCrewe AlexandraDDDDL
1 : 1
SHRShrewsbury TownWLLWL
The model callUnder 2.5Total goals1.74★★★★2 starsWon

Crewe have drawn four matches in a row recently while Shrewsbury have lost three of their last five fixtures. This points to a low scoring tactical battle at Mornflake Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.8
Profit$14.8
Why it might land
  • Crewe Alexandra enter this fixture after putting together a stubborn run of four consecutive draws in their recent league matches.
  • Shrewsbury Town have struggled for consistency lately having suffered three defeats from their last five outings in all competitions.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of 1.74 for under two and a half total goals in this specific fixture.
Why it might not
  • Shrewsbury Town did manage to secure two victories in their last five matches which shows they can occasionally find the net.
  • Crewe Alexandra suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which proves their defensive resistance can sometimes break down completely.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Both sides have shown enough inconsistency in attack to suggest at least one clean sheet will be kept.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Crewe Alexandra the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Under 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Crewe have drawn four matches in a row recently while Shrewsbury have lost three of their last five fixtures. This points to a low scoring tactical battle at Mornflake Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Form and momentum

Crewe Alexandra come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 draws in a row.

Shrewsbury Town come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for CAX, 27% for the draw and 26% for SHR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Crewe Alexandra, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.74, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Shrewsbury Town did manage to secure two victories in their last five matches which shows they can occasionally find the net.
  • Crewe Alexandra suffered a defeat in their most recent outing which proves their defensive resistance can sometimes break down completely.
The bottom line

We back Under 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAX +100
CAX2.00draw3.40SHR3.55

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAXCrewe Alexandra7 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in7
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now4 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDDL
SHRShrewsbury Town7 games on record
Won2
Drawn0
Lost5
  • Scored4and let in14
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Crewe v Shrewsbury draw on the cards?

The site model goes for a draw here because Crewe drew four in a row and Shrewsbury lost three of their last five in a low scoring battle. The doubt is that Shrewsbury did win two of those recent five...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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