Log in
MyBookie
Skybook

Betting tips › League Two ›  Crewe Alexandra v Rochdale

 League TwoSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCMornflake Stadium

Crewe Alexandra v Rochdale tips

CAXCrewe AlexandraDDDDD
VS
RCHRochdaleLWWDL
The model callCrewe AlexandraMatch result1.87★★★★1 star

Crewe look too short at the current prices given their endless run of stalemates. Rochdale bring mixed form to the Mornflake Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18.7
Profit$8.7
Why it might land
  • Crewe Alexandra have been drawing every single match lately with a very stubborn sequence of five consecutive stalemates.
  • The bookmakers have priced Crewe Alexandra to win this fixture at a reasonable decimal odd of 1.87.
  • Rochdale travel to Mornflake Stadium after suffering a disappointing defeat in their most recent league outing.
Why it might not
  • Crewe Alexandra cannot seem to turn any of their recent draws into actual wins on the pitch.
  • Rochdale bounced back with two victories just before their latest loss which makes them tricky opponents here.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show mixed scoring form which leaves the outcome of this market quite open.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Crewe keep playing out low scoring draws so another tight match is very likely.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Crewe Alexandra the side to beat here at 50%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Crewe Alexandra, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Crewe look too short at the current prices given their endless run of stalemates. Rochdale bring mixed form to the Mornflake Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Form and momentum

Crewe Alexandra come in poor, winning 20% of 10 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 7 draws in a row.

Rochdale come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 1 of their 5 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 50% for CAX, 26% for the draw and 24% for RCH once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Crewe Alexandra, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Crewe Alexandra cannot seem to turn any of their recent draws into actual wins on the pitch.
  • Rochdale bounced back with two victories just before their latest loss which makes them tricky opponents here.
The bottom line

We back Crewe Alexandra for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAX -115
CAX1.87draw3.60RCH4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAXCrewe Alexandra10 games on record
Won2
Drawn7
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in11
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now7 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDDD
RCHRochdale9 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored9and let in16
  • On the road1 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
MyBookie · 18+ T&Cs applyUp to $1000 welcome bonusBET NOW