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Betting tips › Premier League ›  Coventry City v Sunderland

 Premier LeagueSat 31 Oct 15:00 UTCCoventry Building Society Arena

Coventry City v Sunderland tips

COVCoventry CityWLLLL
VS
SUNSunderlandLWLWD
The model callSunderlandMatch result2.35★★★★1 star

Sunderland take favouritism at two point thirty five despite mixed recent results against Coventry City. The visitors hold a slight edge in form because the hosts lost four consecutive matches before this Saturday.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$23.5
Profit$13.5
Why it might land
  • Sunderland grabbed a win two games ago while Coventry City suffered four straight defeats in their last five outings.
  • The away price sits at two point thirty five which offers decent value given the poor run of form from the hosts.
  • Coventry City managed just one victory in their recent five matches which points to serious trouble at home this weekend.
Why it might not
  • Sunderland lost their most recent match and also drew prior to that which proves they can be quite inconsistent on the road.
  • Coventry City secured a win in their opening match of this specific five game sequence before their heavy losing run began.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown enough defensive vulnerability in their recent outings to suggest goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither defence looks entirely secure based on their recent results throughout the past five matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Sunderland the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Sunderland, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Sunderland take favouritism at two point thirty five despite mixed recent results against Coventry City. The visitors hold a slight edge in form because the hosts lost four consecutive matches before this Saturday.

Form and momentum

Coventry City come in solid, winning 55% of 40 on record. 13 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Sunderland come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 5 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for COV, 29% for the draw and 41% for SUN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Sunderland lost their most recent match and also drew prior to that which proves they can be quite inconsistent on the road.
  • Coventry City secured a win in their opening match of this specific five game sequence before their heavy losing run began.
The bottom line

We back Sunderland for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
COV3.00draw3.40SUN2.25
SourceDraftKingsSUN +135
COV3.10draw3.35SUN2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

COVCoventry City40 games on record
Won22
Drawn6
Lost12
  • Scored63and let in50
  • At home13 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL
SUNSunderland40 games on record
Won15
Drawn11
Lost14
  • Scored44and let in54
  • On the road5 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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