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Betting tips › Premier League ›  Coventry City v Newcastle United

 Premier LeagueMon 12 Oct 19:00 UTCCoventry Building Society Arena

Coventry City v Newcastle United tips

COVCoventry CityWLLLL
VS
NEWNewcastle UnitedWLWDW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.63★★★★2 stars

We expect goals here because the price of 1.63 on over 2.5 goals shows the bookmakers agree that open play is coming. Newcastle arrive with a decent recent run of results behind them.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$32.6
Profit$12.6
Why it might land
  • The price of 1.63 on over 2.5 goals suggests that bookmakers expect an open match with plenty of scoring chances.
  • Newcastle United come into this fixture having won three of their last five matches across all recent league action.
  • Coventry City are looking to bounce back quickly after suffering four defeats in their last five outings.
Why it might not
  • Coventry City have lost four of their last five matches which makes backing them a risky proposition tonight.
  • Newcastle United lost one of their recent matches and could find an away trip tougher than expected.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams should find the net given Coventry need a response and Newcastle carry decent form.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Newcastle United the side to beat here at 45%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. We expect goals here because the price of 1.63 on over 2.5 goals shows the bookmakers agree that open play is coming. Newcastle arrive with a decent recent run of results behind them.

Form and momentum

Coventry City come in solid, winning 55% of 40 on record. 13 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Newcastle United come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 29% for COV, 27% for the draw and 45% for NEW once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Newcastle United, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.63, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Coventry City have lost four of their last five matches which makes backing them a risky proposition tonight.
  • Newcastle United lost one of their recent matches and could find an away trip tougher than expected.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
COV3.30draw3.70NEW2.10
SourceDraftKingsNEW +110
COV3.25draw3.50NEW2.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

COVCoventry City40 games on record
Won22
Drawn6
Lost12
  • Scored63and let in50
  • At home13 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLLL
NEWNewcastle United40 games on record
Won17
Drawn9
Lost14
  • Scored71and let in65
  • On the road7 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in this Coventry and Newcastle game?

The site model calls a draw here because the bookies price over 2.5 goals at 1.63 and expect an open match. Newcastle are on a decent run of form right now. The doubt is that Coventry lost four of the...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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