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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Coritiba v Grêmio

 BrasileiraoSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCCouto Pereira

Coritiba v Grêmio tips

CFCCoritibaLDLWW
VS
GREGrêmioDLLLW
The model callCoritibaMatch result2.10★★★★2 stars

Coritiba have picked up two recent wins to steady themselves at home. Gremio travel with a poor run of form containing three defeats in their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • Coritiba head into this fixture at the Couto Pereira holding two victories from their most recent five outings in the league.
  • The market prices a home win at a decent decimal odds figure of 2.10 given the current momentum of both clubs.
  • Gremio arrive in miserable away form after suffering three losses and only managing a single draw recently.
Why it might not
  • Coritiba have also lost two of their last five matches to show they remain capable of a sudden slip up.
  • Gremio did manage to win one of their last five fixtures which proves they can still spring a surprise on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Recent defensive struggles for both sides suggest neither will keep a clean sheet here.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown defensive frailties across their recent matches which could lead to goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Coritiba the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Coritiba, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Coritiba have picked up two recent wins to steady themselves at home. Gremio travel with a poor run of form containing three defeats in their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Coritiba come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Grêmio come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for CFC, 27% for the draw and 29% for GRE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Coritiba, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Coritiba have also lost two of their last five matches to show they remain capable of a sudden slip up.
  • Gremio did manage to win one of their last five fixtures which proves they can still spring a surprise on the road.
The bottom line

We back Coritiba for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCFC +110
CFC2.10draw3.45GRE3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CFCCoritiba7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored12and let in15
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDLWW
GREGrêmio8 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored8and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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