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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Colegiales v Atletico Rafaela

 Primera NacionalSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Libertarios Unidos

Colegiales v Atletico Rafaela tips

COLColegialesWLWLW
VS
RAFAtletico RafaelaLWLLW
The model callColegialesMatch result1.71★★★★2 stars

Colegiales play at home and hold the better recent form guide. Atletico Rafaela travel with too many defeats on their record.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • Colegiales come into this fixture at Estadio Libertarios Unidos with a solid run that features three wins from their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers price Colegiales at 1.71 to win which gives us a fair entry point for a team holding this kind of home advantage.
  • Atletico Rafaela struggle to find consistency on the road and arrive having suffered three losses across their most recent five outings.
Why it might not
  • Colegiales alternate wins and losses in their last five matches making their exact match to match pattern slightly unpredictable for backers.
  • Atletico Rafaela managed a win in their most recent five matches which proves they can still bite if they are taken too lightly.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides trade wins and losses frequently which usually points toward open matches with goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is hard to judge the value here.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Colegiales the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Colegiales, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Colegiales play at home and hold the better recent form guide. Atletico Rafaela travel with too many defeats on their record.

Form and momentum

Colegiales come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 4 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Atletico Rafaela come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for COL, 30% for the draw and 17% for RAF once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Colegiales, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Colegiales alternate wins and losses in their last five matches making their exact match to match pattern slightly unpredictable for backers.
  • Atletico Rafaela managed a win in their most recent five matches which proves they can still bite if they are taken too lightly.
The bottom line

We back Colegiales for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCOL -140
COL1.71draw3.05RAF5.25

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

COLColegiales7 games on record
Won4
Drawn1
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in6
  • At home4 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLW
RAFAtletico Rafaela6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in8
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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