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Betting tips › League Two ›  Colchester United v Exeter City

 League TwoSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCJobServe Community Stadium

Colchester United v Exeter City tips

COLColchester UnitedDDDDL
VS
EXEExeter CityDLDLD
The model callDrawMatch result3.50★★★★1 star

Both teams keep drawing too many matches recently so another stalemate looks likely at the JobServe Community Stadium this Saturday afternoon.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$35
Profit$25
Why it might land
  • Colchester United come into this fixture having drawn four out of their last five matches in a clear sign of stalemate tendencies.
  • Exeter City also show plenty of draws on their recent record with three stalemates from their last five outings overall.
  • The bookmakers offer a decent price of 3.50 for the draw which matches the stubborn form shown by both clubs lately.
Why it might not
  • Colchester United suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which proves they can still lose matches when defensive focus slips.
  • Exeter City lost two of their last five matches which shows they are just as capable of falling to defeat as they are of drawing.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams are conceding regularly enough in their recent outings that both might find the net in this encounter.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows a prolific scoring touch in their recent results so goals could be hard to come by on Saturday.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Colchester United the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Draw, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Both teams keep drawing too many matches recently so another stalemate looks likely at the JobServe Community Stadium this Saturday afternoon.

Form and momentum

Colchester United come in poor, winning 22% of 9 on record. 2 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 4 draws in a row.

Exeter City come in poor, winning 23% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for COL, 27% for the draw and 29% for EXE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Colchester United, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Colchester United suffered a defeat in their most recent fixture which proves they can still lose matches when defensive focus slips.
  • Exeter City lost two of their last five matches which shows they are just as capable of falling to defeat as they are of drawing.
The bottom line

We back Draw for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCOL +110
COL2.10draw3.50EXE3.20

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

COLColchester United9 games on record
Won2
Drawn5
Lost2
  • Scored11and let in13
  • At home2 winsfrom5
  • Right now4 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDDL
EXEExeter City40 games on record
Won9
Drawn14
Lost17
  • Scored41and let in50
  • On the road2 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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