Betting tips › Primera Nacional › Colón (Santa Fe) v Los Andes

Primera NacionalSun 20 Sept 19:30 UTCBrigadier Gral. Estanislao LópezFinished

Colón (Santa Fe) v Los Andes tips

COL

Colón (Santa Fe)LLLW

3 : 0

AND

Los AndesDDDDL

The model callOver 1.5Total goals1.63★★★★2 starsWon

Colon play at home against Los Andes on Sunday and we should see at least two goals. The odds of 1.63 on the over 1.5 line offer a decent price for this match.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$32.6

Profit$12.6

Why it might land

Colon come into this fixture at their home ground after putting together a recent run of form that includes three losses and one win.
Los Andes arrive at the Brigadier Gral Estanislao Lopez having suffered a defeat in their most recent match following four straight draws.
The betting market offers a price of 1.63 for backers of the over 1.5 goals line in this Primera Nacional encounter.

Why it might not

Los Andes have shown a tendency to play out low scoring draws in recent weeks which could easily drag this total down.
Colon lost three matches in a row before their latest victory and their shaky attack might struggle to push the game over on their own.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both teams need a result badly so we might see defensive errors lead to goals at both ends.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Colón (Santa Fe) the side to beat here at 52%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Colon play at home against Los Andes on Sunday and we should see at least two goals. The odds of 1.63 on the over 1.5 line offer a decent price for this match.

Form and momentum

Colón (Santa Fe) come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 losss in a row.

Los Andes come in poor, winning 0% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 4 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 52% for COL, 30% for the draw and 18% for AND once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Colón (Santa Fe), so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.63, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Los Andes have shown a tendency to play out low scoring draws in recent weeks which could easily drag this total down.
Colon lost three matches in a row before their latest victory and their shaky attack might struggle to push the game over on their own.

The bottom line

We back Over 1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCOL -135

COL1.74draw2.95AND5.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

COL

Colón (Santa Fe)4 games on record

Won1

Drawn0

Lost3

Scored3and let in6
At home0 winsfrom1
Right now3 losss in a row

Last fiveLLLW

AND

Los Andes5 games on record

Won0

Drawn4

Lost1

Scored2and let in3
On the roadno winsfrom3
Right now4 draws in a row

Last fiveDDDDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Colon v Los Andes goals or draw?

Colon are at home on Sunday and the site model says we should see at least two goals at 1.63. Los Andes have played out low scoring draws recently which could drag the total down. The site model calls...

0 replies

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.