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Betting tips › Primera Division ›  Cobresal v Universidad de Concepción

 Primera DivisionSat 10 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio El Cobre

Cobresal v Universidad de Concepción tips

COBCobresalWLWD
VS
UDECUniversidad de ConcepciónLLWL
The model callCobresalMatch result2.10★★★★2 stars

Cobresal holds the stronger recent form heading to Estadio El Cobre and the price looks fair for a home win. Universidad de Concepcion travels with too many losses behind them.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$42
Profit$22
Why it might land
  • Cobresal comes into this fixture with two wins and a draw from their last four matches which shows decent momentum in the league.
  • Universidad de Concepcion has struggled badly on the road recently with three losses in their last four outings.
  • The 2.10 price available on the home win gives us a very solid return for a side facing out of form opponents.
Why it might not
  • Cobresal did slip up against Universidad de Concepcion recently with a loss that proves they are far from invincible at this level.
  • A recent draw on the Cobresal record shows they can occasionally stall when they should be pushing for all three points.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both defenses leak enough goals to suggest each side will find the net at least once.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.71

At 1.71 the over is priced for goals which fits the defensive lapses both sides have shown lately.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cobresal the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Cobresal, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Cobresal holds the stronger recent form heading to Estadio El Cobre and the price looks fair for a home win. Universidad de Concepcion travels with too many losses behind them.

Form and momentum

Cobresal come in solid, winning 50% of 4 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Universidad de Concepción come in poor, winning 25% of 4 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 44% for COB, 27% for the draw and 29% for UDEC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Cobresal, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.10, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cobresal did slip up against Universidad de Concepcion recently with a loss that proves they are far from invincible at this level.
  • A recent draw on the Cobresal record shows they can occasionally stall when they should be pushing for all three points.
The bottom line

We back Cobresal for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCOB +110
COB2.10draw3.45UDEC3.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

COBCobresal4 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWD
UDECUniversidad de Concepción4 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored4and let in7
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Cobresal or Universidad de Concepcion?

The site model goes for Cobresal at two point one because of their recent form and the poor away record of Universidad de Concepcion. On the other hand, Cobresal did lose to them recently so they are ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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