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Betting tips › Champions League ›  Club Brugge v Aston Villa

 Champions LeagueTue 8 Sept 16:45 UTCJan Breydel StadiumFinished

Club Brugge v Aston Villa tips

BRUClub BruggeWLWWL
2 : 3
AVLAston VillaDLLWW
The model callAston VillaMatch result2.50★★★★1 starWon

Aston Villa arrive in Belgium with slightly better recent momentum than Club Brugge. The tight odds suggest a very close game ahead.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$25
Profit$15
Why it might land
  • Villa won two of their last five matches across all competitions.
  • Brugge lost two of their last five matches in recent fixtures.
  • The bookmakers make the English side slight favourites away from home.
Why it might not
  • Villa lost two recent matches and consistency remains a major problem.
  • Brugge play at home and secured two wins recently.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both sides have been trading results back and forth so expect each team to find the net.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69Won

Brugge and Villa both mix some wins with losses lately and the price suggests goals are coming.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Club Brugge the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Aston Villa, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Aston Villa arrive in Belgium with slightly better recent momentum than Club Brugge. The tight odds suggest a very close game ahead.

Form and momentum

Club Brugge come in patchy, winning 43% of 14 on record. 3 of their 6 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Aston Villa come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 7 of their 21 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for BRU, 27% for the draw and 35% for AVL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Villa lost two recent matches and consistency remains a major problem.
  • Brugge play at home and secured two wins recently.
The bottom line

We back Aston Villa for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBRU +150
BRU2.50draw3.55AVL2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BRUClub Brugge14 games on record
Won6
Drawn2
Lost6
  • Scored25and let in26
  • At home3 winsfrom6
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWWL
AVLAston Villa40 games on record
Won19
Drawn8
Lost13
  • Scored56and let in54
  • On the road7 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Brugge vs Villa, who are you backing here?

The site model calls Villa at 2.50 because they have slightly better recent momentum than Brugge in a very close match. On the other hand, Villa lost two recent matches and consistency remains a major...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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