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Betting tips › Primera Nacional ›  Ciudad de Bolívar v Colón (Santa Fe)

 Primera NacionalSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCEstadio Municipal Eva Perón

Ciudad de Bolívar v Colón (Santa Fe) tips

CDBCiudad de BolívarWLDLW
VS
COLColón (Santa Fe)DWLLL
The model callCiudad de BolívarMatch result2.60★★★★1 star

Ciudad de Bolivar have won two of their last five matches and get home advantage against a struggling opponent. Colon arrive on a poor run after losing three consecutive games.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$26
Profit$16
Why it might land
  • Ciudad de Bolivar return to their own ground holding a reasonable recent win against a loss and a draw in their past five matches.
  • Colon have crashed into terrible form recently by losing three matches in a row across their last five outings.
  • The market offers a price of 2.60 for the home team to win which reflects a tight contest where the hosts hold a slight edge.
Why it might not
  • Ciudad de Bolivar showed inconsistency by losing two of their last five matches including their most recent outing.
  • Colon managed to secure a draw and a win earlier in their recent five game sequence showing they can occasionally avoid defeat.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have traded wins and defeats recently so neither defence looks secure enough to keep a clean sheet.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown defensive lapses during their recent runs of mixed results making goals possible.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Ciudad de Bolívar the side to beat here at 35%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Ciudad de Bolívar, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Ciudad de Bolivar have won two of their last five matches and get home advantage against a struggling opponent. Colon arrive on a poor run after losing three consecutive games.

Form and momentum

Ciudad de Bolívar come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Colón (Santa Fe) come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for CDB, 34% for the draw and 31% for COL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.60, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Ciudad de Bolivar showed inconsistency by losing two of their last five matches including their most recent outing.
  • Colon managed to secure a draw and a win earlier in their recent five game sequence showing they can occasionally avoid defeat.
The bottom line

We back Ciudad de Bolívar for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCDB +160
CDB2.60draw2.65COL2.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CDBCiudad de Bolívar6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored5and let in6
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLW
COLColón (Santa Fe)6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in6
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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