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Betting tips › MLS ›  Chicago Fire FC v Vancouver Whitecaps

 MLSWed 7 Oct 00:30 UTCSoldier Field

Chicago Fire FC v Vancouver Whitecaps tips

CHIChicago Fire FCWLLDD
VS
VANVancouver WhitecapsDWLWL
The model callUnder 3.5Total goals1.69★★★★2 stars

Vancouver comes into Soldier Field as the clear favourite at two point ten while Chicago sits at two point eight. The goals line is set high at three point five with the under offering one point six nine.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.8
Profit$13.8
Why it might land
  • The price of one point six nine on under three point five goals offers solid value given how tight these MLS matches often get late in the season.
  • Vancouver lost their most recent outing and might play a more cautious style away from home to steady their form after that disappointing result.
  • Chicago has struggled recently with two losses and two draws in their last five matches which points to a low scoring contest at Soldier Field.
Why it might not
  • Vancouver did manage a win two games ago showing they can find the net when their attack clicks into gear on the road.
  • Chicago won one of their last five matches and could surprise the market if they push forward early against the away side.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Chicago has too many draws and losses recently to trust them to score in this fixture.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vancouver Whitecaps the side to beat here at 43%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Under 3.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Vancouver comes into Soldier Field as the clear favourite at two point ten while Chicago sits at two point eight. The goals line is set high at three point five with the under offering one point six nine.

Form and momentum

Chicago Fire FC come in patchy, winning 33% of 9 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Vancouver Whitecaps come in solid, winning 56% of 9 on record. 3 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for CHI, 24% for the draw and 43% for VAN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Vancouver Whitecaps, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.69, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Vancouver did manage a win two games ago showing they can find the net when their attack clicks into gear on the road.
  • Chicago won one of their last five matches and could surprise the market if they push forward early against the away side.
The bottom line

We back Under 3.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVAN +110
CHI2.80draw3.70VAN2.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CHIChicago Fire FC9 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost2
  • Scored14and let in15
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLLDD
VANVancouver Whitecaps9 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored21and let in9
  • On the road3 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Chicago v Vancouver. Where is the value?

The site model has this down as a draw with the line sitting high at three point five goals. Vancouver are favourites at two point ten coming to Soldier Field. The doubt is that the away side showed t...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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