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Betting tips › NFL ›  New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears

 NFLFri 23 Oct 00:15 UTCSoldier Field

New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears tips

NENew England PatriotsLWLLW
VS
CHIChicago BearsLWWLW
The model callChicago Bears -1.5Handicap1.91★★★★2 stars

Chicago plays at home after three wins in their last five matches. New England comes to Soldier Field carrying an inconsistent patch of form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Chicago holds home advantage at Soldier Field while putting together three victories across their recent five outings in the league.
  • The bookmakers price the Chicago handicap at minus 1.5 with odds of 1.91 which offers decent value for a host team.
  • New England travels to this Friday fixture having suffered three defeats in their most recent five matches on the field.
Why it might not
  • Chicago lost their most recent match in a sequence that shows they can slip up when expected to perform well.
  • New England grabbed a win in their latest outing which proves they remain capable of pulling off a surprise result.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Total pointsOver 47.5 pointsPrice 1.91

Both teams have traded wins and losses recently which could lead to an open game pushing past the forty seven point line.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Chicago Bears the side to beat here at 53%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Chicago Bears -1.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Chicago plays at home after three wins in their last five matches. New England comes to Soldier Field carrying an inconsistent patch of form.

Form and momentum

Chicago Bears come in strong, winning 63% of 27 on record. 9 of their 14 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

New England Patriots come in strong, winning 70% of 30 on record. 10 of their 14 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for CHI and 47% for NE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Chicago lost their most recent match in a sequence that shows they can slip up when expected to perform well.
  • New England grabbed a win in their latest outing which proves they remain capable of pulling off a surprise result.
The bottom line

We back Chicago Bears -1.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCHI -1.5
CHI -1.51.91NE +1.51.91over 47.51.91under 47.51.91

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CHIChicago Bears27 games on record
Won17
Lost9
  • Scored709and let in611
  • At home9 winsfrom14
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWWLW
NENew England Patriots30 games on record
Won21
Lost8
  • Scored721and let in569
  • On the road10 winsfrom14
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotAmerican Football

Bears or Patriots this week?

The site model goes with Chicago at home after three wins from five while New England brings patchy form to Soldier Field. The catch is that Chicago lost their last game which shows they slip up as fa...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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