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Betting tips › League Two ›  Chesterfield v York City

 League TwoSat 19 Sept 14:00 UTCSMH Group StadiumFinished

Chesterfield v York City tips

CHESChesterfieldWDDLW
2 : 0
YORKYork CityWDLWD
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.61★★★★2 starsLost

Both sides show mixed scoring form in their recent matches which points towards an open game at the SMH Group Stadium. The odds of 1.61 for over 2.5 total goals reflect strong expectations for a high scoring encounter on Saturday.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$32.2
Profit$12.2
Why it might land
  • Chesterfield enters this fixture with a recent run showing three wins, two draws and one loss across their last five matches.
  • York City brings a comparable run of form featuring two wins, two draws and a single defeat into this weekend clash.
  • The available price of 1.61 for over 2.5 total goals suggests the bookmakers expect plenty of attacking action at SMH Group Stadium.
Why it might not
  • Chesterfield recently recorded a scoreless draw which shows they can sometimes struggle to break opponents down completely.
  • York City also played out a draw in their most recent outing which hints at a potential cagier affair than expected.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both teams have shown enough consistency in their recent results to suggest they will find the net.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Chesterfield the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Both sides show mixed scoring form in their recent matches which points towards an open game at the SMH Group Stadium. The odds of 1.61 for over 2.5 total goals reflect strong expectations for a high scoring encounter on Saturday.

Form and momentum

Chesterfield come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

York City come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 39% for CHES, 26% for the draw and 34% for YORK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.61, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Chesterfield recently recorded a scoreless draw which shows they can sometimes struggle to break opponents down completely.
  • York City also played out a draw in their most recent outing which hints at a potential cagier affair than expected.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCHES +135
CHES2.35draw3.50YORK2.70

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CHESChesterfield6 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored8and let in8
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDDLW
YORKYork City6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored13and let in8
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLWD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Chesterfield v York City, draw on the cards?

Both teams show mixed scoring form so the site model calls a draw here. The odds suggest a high scoring match because goals are expected at the stadium. Chesterfield did have a scoreless draw recently...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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