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Betting tips › League Two ›  Cheltenham Town v Newport County

 League TwoSat 24 Oct 11:30 UTCThe Completely-Suzuki Stadium

Cheltenham Town v Newport County tips

CHLCheltenham TownDWDWD
VS
NEWNewport CountyDWDDL
The model callCheltenham TownMatch result2.50★★★★2 stars

Cheltenham Town look slightly better placed to take three points here given their unbeaten recent run of results. Newport County have struggled more lately and could find this trip tough at the Completely Suzuki Stadium.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$50
Profit$30
Why it might land
  • Cheltenham Town enter this fixture after putting together a solid run of form that includes two wins and three draws from their last five matches.
  • The home side are priced at two point five zero to win the match which offers a decent return for a team avoiding defeats consistently.
  • Newport County arrive in Gloucestershire following a recent run that includes one defeat and three draws which points towards vulnerability on the road.
Why it might not
  • Cheltenham Town have drawn three of their last five outings which shows they can struggle to turn tight affairs into victories.
  • Newport County managed a win during their last five matches and can prove stubborn opponents despite their patchy overall run of recent form.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough inconsistency in defence during their recent matches to suggest both will find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides have been involved in plenty of low scoring draws lately so goals might be hard to come by.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cheltenham Town the side to beat here at 37%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Cheltenham Town, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Cheltenham Town look slightly better placed to take three points here given their unbeaten recent run of results. Newport County have struggled more lately and could find this trip tough at the Completely Suzuki Stadium.

Form and momentum

Cheltenham Town come in patchy, winning 44% of 9 on record. 3 of their 5 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Newport County come in poor, winning 22% of 9 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 37% for CHL, 27% for the draw and 36% for NEW once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cheltenham Town have drawn three of their last five outings which shows they can struggle to turn tight affairs into victories.
  • Newport County managed a win during their last five matches and can prove stubborn opponents despite their patchy overall run of recent form.
The bottom line

We back Cheltenham Town for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCHL +150
CHL2.50draw3.50NEW2.60

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CHLCheltenham Town9 games on record
Won4
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored18and let in14
  • At home3 winsfrom5
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDWD
NEWNewport County9 games on record
Won2
Drawn4
Lost3
  • Scored14and let in14
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Cheltenham v Newport, who are you backing?

The site model fancies Cheltenham because of their unbeaten run and Newport struggling away from home. Then again they have drawn three of their last five so they might not finish it off. What are you...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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