The matchupThe market makes Queens Park Rangers the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Queens Park Rangers, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Queens Park Rangers bring decent recent form into this away fixture at Charlton Athletic. The visitors hold the edge in the betting market for a reason.
Form and momentumCharlton Athletic come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 8 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Queens Park Rangers come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The price and the valueThe prices turn into 31% for CHA, 28% for the draw and 41% for QPR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
When these two meetAcross 2 past meetings QPR have had the better of it, 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Squads change, so read it as colour rather than proof.
Where it could go wrong- Queens Park Rangers also lost a recent game on their travels
- Charlton Athletic put together three straight wins before their latest defeat
The bottom lineWe back Queens Park Rangers for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.