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Betting tips › Brasileirao ›  Chapecoense v Mirassol

 BrasileiraoTue 3 Nov 22:30 UTCArena Condá

Chapecoense v Mirassol tips

CHAChapecoenseDLWLW
VS
MIRMirassolWDWLD
The model callMirassolMatch result1.95★★★★2 stars

Mirassol arrive as favourites at Arena Condá because their recent form holds up better than Chapecoense. The away win price of 1.95 gives us a fair entry point for a side avoiding defeat more often.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Mirassol travel to Arena Condá with a solid recent run of form that includes two wins and two draws from their last five matches.
  • Chapecoense have struggled to find consistency at home or away, managing only two wins alongside two defeats and a draw in their last five fixtures.
  • The bookmakers price Mirassol at 1.95 to secure the victory, which reflects their stronger overall position compared to the hosts in recent weeks.
Why it might not
  • Mirassol failed to win their most recent outing and only managed a draw, showing they can stall on the road.
  • Chapecoense picked up a win in their latest match and might carry that momentum forward to surprise the market.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams tend to feature in tighter matches where one side often fails to find the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a heavy scoring streak in their recent results to suggest three or more goals.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Mirassol the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Mirassol, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Mirassol arrive as favourites at Arena Condá because their recent form holds up better than Chapecoense. The away win price of 1.95 gives us a fair entry point for a side avoiding defeat more often.

Form and momentum

Chapecoense come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Mirassol come in poor, winning 25% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for CHA, 25% for the draw and 48% for MIR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Mirassol, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Mirassol failed to win their most recent outing and only managed a draw, showing they can stall on the road.
  • Chapecoense picked up a win in their latest match and might carry that momentum forward to surprise the market.
The bottom line

We back Mirassol for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsMIR -105
CHA3.45draw3.65MIR1.95

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CHAChapecoense7 games on record
Won2
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in12
  • At home1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLW
MIRMirassol8 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost3
  • Scored10and let in15
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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