Betting tips › Brasileirao › Chapecoense v Fluminense
BrasileiraoSat 24 Oct 18:00 UTCArena CondáChapecoense v Fluminense tips
ChapecoenseDLWLW
FluminenseLWLWDFluminense head to Arena Condá as favourites to beat Chapecoense. Their recent mixed results still point to enough quality to secure the three points.
- Fluminense are priced at 1.91 to win this match which shows the bookmakers expect them to control the game against Chapecoense.
- The away side comes into this fixture following a recent win and a draw in their last two outings which shows steady momentum.
- Chapecoense have lost two of their last five matches including a recent defeat which suggests they are vulnerable at home.
- Fluminense lost one of their last five games and that recent inconsistency makes backing them at 1.91 a risky proposition.
- Chapecoense recently picked up two wins and a draw from five matches proving they can grind out results when least expected.
Chapecoense and Fluminense both show alternating results in recent weeks making both teams scoring a real possibility.
Both teams have traded wins and losses recently with mixed defensive displays which could lead to goals.
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Edge Analysis
The market makes Fluminense the side to beat here at 49%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Fluminense, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Fluminense head to Arena Condá as favourites to beat Chapecoense. Their recent mixed results still point to enough quality to secure the three points.
Chapecoense come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 1 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.
Fluminense come in solid, winning 50% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The prices turn into 25% for CHA, 27% for the draw and 49% for FLU once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Fluminense, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
- Fluminense lost one of their last five games and that recent inconsistency makes backing them at 1.91 a risky proposition.
- Chapecoense recently picked up two wins and a draw from five matches proving they can grind out results when least expected.
We back Fluminense for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Every price we track
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
Recent Performance
Chapecoense7 games on record- Scored10and let in12
- At home1 winsfrom3
- Right now1 draw in a row
Fluminense8 games on record- Scored15and let in13
- On the road1 winsfrom4
- Right now1 loss in a row
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.