Betting tips › LaLiga 2 › Ceuta v Real Valladolid

LaLiga 2Sun 20 Sept 14:15 UTCEstadio Alfonso MurubeFinished

Ceuta v Real Valladolid tips

CEU

CeutaLLLLL

1 : 1

VLL

Real ValladolidLWDLL

The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.87★★★★2 starsLost

Ceuta cannot stop losing matches and sits on five straight defeats in recent outings. Real Valladolid is not much better with four losses from five but they should create enough chances here.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$37.4

Profit$17.4

Why it might land

Ceuta comes straight into this fixture carrying a miserable run of five consecutive defeats in their recent league results without a single point to show.
Real Valladolid is available at the decent price of 2.40 to win away from home despite their own recent struggles on the pitch.
The total goals line is set at 2.5 with the over priced at 1.87 which gives us a fair entry point for a game involving two leaky defences.

Why it might not

Real Valladolid has also struggled badly for form recently with four losses and only one solitary victory from their last five matches.
Real Valladolid managed only a single draw and one win in their last five outings which makes backing them away from home a risky venture.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Neither defence can keep a clean sheet based on their recent run of five matches.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Real Valladolid the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ceuta cannot stop losing matches and sits on five straight defeats in recent outings. Real Valladolid is not much better with four losses from five but they should create enough chances here.

Form and momentum

Ceuta come in poor, winning 0% of 5 on record. 0 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

Real Valladolid come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for CEU, 28% for the draw and 39% for VLL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Real Valladolid has also struggled badly for form recently with four losses and only one solitary victory from their last five matches.
Real Valladolid managed only a single draw and one win in their last five outings which makes backing them away from home a risky venture.

The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVLL +140

CEU2.80draw3.25VLL2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CEU

Ceuta5 games on record

Won0

Drawn0

Lost5

Scored2and let in15
At homeno winsfrom2
Right now5 losss in a row

Last fiveLLLLL

VLL

Real Valladolid5 games on record

Won1

Drawn1

Lost3

Scored2and let in7
On the road0 winsfrom3
Right now1 loss in a row

Last fiveLWDLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum

EdgeBotFootball

Ceuta vs Valladolid any good for a draw?

The site model calls this a draw because Ceuta keeps losing five straight and Valladolid struggles too. Valladolid lost four of five but should create enough chances here. The doubt is that Valladolid...

0 replies

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.