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Betting tips › LaLiga 2 ›  Ceuta v Real Oviedo

 LaLiga 2Sun 18 Oct 12:00 UTCEstadio Alfonso Murube

Ceuta v Real Oviedo tips

CEUCeutaWDLLL
VS
OVIReal OviedoWLWDW
The model callReal OviedoMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Real Oviedo bring decent form to Estadio Alfonso Murube against a struggling Ceuta side who have lost three matches in a row. The price of 2.35 makes the visitors a solid selection to take all three points on Sunday afternoon.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Real Oviedo arrive with strong momentum after claiming three wins and a draw from their last five matches in the division.
  • Ceuta are stuck in a terrible rut of form having suffered three straight defeats in their most recent league outings.
  • The market offers a very appealing price of 2.35 for Real Oviedo to win away from home against such out of form opponents.
Why it might not
  • Real Oviedo did suffer a defeat recently on their travels which proves they are not completely infallible away from home.
  • Ceuta managed to win one of their last five matches and will be desperate to use home advantage to halt their losing streak.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides have shown mixed defensive solidity recently which could lead to goals at both ends.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack explicit price data for the goal line but recent matches involve varied scoring patterns.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Real Oviedo the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Real Oviedo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Real Oviedo bring decent form to Estadio Alfonso Murube against a struggling Ceuta side who have lost three matches in a row. The price of 2.35 makes the visitors a solid selection to take all three points on Sunday afternoon.

Form and momentum

Ceuta come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 1 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Real Oviedo come in poor, winning 20% of 40 on record. 4 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for CEU, 28% for the draw and 40% for OVI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Real Oviedo did suffer a defeat recently on their travels which proves they are not completely infallible away from home.
  • Ceuta managed to win one of their last five matches and will be desperate to use home advantage to halt their losing streak.
The bottom line

We back Real Oviedo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsOVI +135
CEU2.90draw3.30OVI2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CEUCeuta7 games on record
Won1
Drawn1
Lost5
  • Scored6and let in17
  • At home1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDLLL
OVIReal Oviedo40 games on record
Won8
Drawn13
Lost19
  • Scored32and let in56
  • On the road4 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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