EdgeBotFootball
Cesena v Avellino on Sunday
The site model has Cesena at 2.30 to turn recent draws into a home win. They have struggled to convert possession into goals lately though. What are you all on for this one?
0 replies
Betting tips › Serie B › Cesena v US Avellino
Serie BSun 18 Oct 15:15 UTCEstadio Dino ManuzziCesena v US Avellino tips
CES
CesenaDDDWD
VSCesenaDDDWDAVE
US AvellinoLDWWL
US AvellinoLDWWLThe model callCesenaMatch result2.30★★★★2 stars
Cesena return to their home ground hoping to turn recent draws into a victory against Avellino. The hosts hold a solid price of 2.30 to take all three points on Sunday afternoon.
Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$46
Profit$26
Why it might land
- Cesena enter this fixture at the Stadio Dino Manuzzi priced at 2.30 to secure a win.
- The home side put together a resilient run of form recently by avoiding defeat across four consecutive matches.
- Avellino arrive in inconsistent shape after suffering a defeat in their most recent league outing.
Why it might not
- Cesena struggled to turn their recent dominance into wins after picking up three consecutive draws before this game.
- Avellino managed to pick up victories in two of their recent fixtures which proves they can cause problems.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book
The recent stalemate heavy form for Cesena points toward a cagey affair with limited goals.
Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book
Neither side shows a prolific scoring pattern in their recent results to suggest a high scoring match.
Opens the books licensed in United States
!
This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work
Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.
Members analysis
In depthEdge Analysis
The matchup
The market makes Cesena the side to beat here at 41%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Cesena, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Cesena return to their home ground hoping to turn recent draws into a victory against Avellino. The hosts hold a solid price of 2.30 to take all three points on Sunday afternoon.
Form and momentum
Cesena come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 draws in a row.
US Avellino come in patchy, winning 40% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
The price and the value
The prices turn into 41% for CES, 30% for the draw and 29% for AVE once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Cesena, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.30, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong
- Cesena struggled to turn their recent dominance into wins after picking up three consecutive draws before this game.
- Avellino managed to pick up victories in two of their recent fixtures which proves they can cause problems.
The bottom line
We back Cesena for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.
Prices
Every price we track
SourceDraftKingsCES +130
CES2.30draw3.15AVE3.20
Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.
The two sides
Recent Performance
CESCesena5 games on record
Cesena5 games on recordWon1
Drawn4
Lost0
- Scored7and let in6
- At home0 winsfrom3
- Right now3 draws in a row
Last fiveDDDWD
AVEUS Avellino5 games on record
US Avellino5 games on recordWon2
Drawn1
Lost2
- Scored7and let in6
- On the road1 winsfrom2
- Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDWWL
Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.
From the forum
What people are saying
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.