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Betting tips › J1 League ›  Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale

 J1 LeagueSat 17 Oct 06:00 UTCYodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo Osaka v Kawasaki Frontale tips

CERCerezo OsakaDLDWL
VS
KAWKawasaki FrontaleDWWLW
The model callKawasaki FrontaleMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Kawasaki Frontale look the stronger side on recent results and hold a fair price to take all three points on the road. Cerezo Osaka are struggling for consistency after picking up just one win from their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Kawasaki Frontale arrive with a solid run of form that includes three wins from their last five outings.
  • Cerezo Osaka have managed only a single victory in their most recent five league fixtures to show real vulnerability.
  • The available price of 2.35 on Kawasaki Frontale offers decent value for an away win given the contrasting form guides.
Why it might not
  • Kawasaki Frontale were held to a draw in their most recent fixture which shows they can still drop points unexpectedly.
  • Cerezo Osaka managed to pick up points in draws within their last five matches and can prove stubborn hosts.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough defensive leaks in their recent results to suggest each can find the net.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side has been prolific enough lately to suggest the match will race past four goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Kawasaki Frontale the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Kawasaki Frontale, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Kawasaki Frontale look the stronger side on recent results and hold a fair price to take all three points on the road. Cerezo Osaka are struggling for consistency after picking up just one win from their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Cerezo Osaka come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Kawasaki Frontale come in patchy, winning 38% of 8 on record. 1 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for CER, 26% for the draw and 40% for KAW once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Kawasaki Frontale were held to a draw in their most recent fixture which shows they can still drop points unexpectedly.
  • Cerezo Osaka managed to pick up points in draws within their last five matches and can prove stubborn hosts.
The bottom line

We back Kawasaki Frontale for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsKAW +135
CER2.75draw3.65KAW2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CERCerezo Osaka8 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost3
  • Scored7and let in12
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDWL
KAWKawasaki Frontale8 games on record
Won3
Drawn4
Lost1
  • Scored16and let in12
  • On the road1 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Cerezo Osaka or Kawasaki Frontale?

The site model goes for Kawasaki Frontale at 2.35 because Cerezo Osaka have only won one of their last five. Kawasaki are in better form overall to take the points. They did draw their last match thou...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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