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Betting tips › Liga Profesional ›  Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) v Vélez Sarsfield

 Liga ProfesionalSun 25 Oct 18:00 UTCAlfredo Terrera

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) v Vélez Sarsfield tips

CTRCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)DLLDL
VS
VELVélez SarsfieldWDWDD
The model callVélez SarsfieldMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Velez Sarsfield arrive in much better shape and look a fair price to win away. Central Cordoba simply cannot buy a victory right now.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Velez Sarsfield bring a solid unbeaten run into this fixture after taking two wins and three draws from their last five matches.
  • Central Cordoba are struggling badly for results because they failed to win any of their last five matches in the league.
  • The away win price of 2.35 gives us a very decent return on a side that avoids defeat while the hosts keep losing.
Why it might not
  • Velez Sarsfield picked up three draws in their last five outings which shows they can sometimes struggle to kill off opponents.
  • Central Cordoba managed to pick up draws in two of their recent matches and might frustrate the visitors on their own ground.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Central Cordoba look too blunt lately to rely on them finding the net away from home.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Neither side shows any recent sign of turning matches into high scoring shootouts.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Vélez Sarsfield the side to beat here at 39%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Vélez Sarsfield, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Velez Sarsfield arrive in much better shape and look a fair price to win away. Central Cordoba simply cannot buy a victory right now.

Form and momentum

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) come in poor, winning 14% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Vélez Sarsfield come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 31% for CTR, 29% for the draw and 39% for VEL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Velez Sarsfield picked up three draws in their last five outings which shows they can sometimes struggle to kill off opponents.
  • Central Cordoba managed to pick up draws in two of their recent matches and might frustrate the visitors on their own ground.
The bottom line

We back Vélez Sarsfield for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsVEL +135
CTR2.95draw3.15VEL2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CTRCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)7 games on record
Won1
Drawn2
Lost4
  • Scored6and let in10
  • At home0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLDL
VELVélez Sarsfield7 games on record
Won2
Drawn5
Lost0
  • Scored10and let in8
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWDWDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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