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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Celta Vigo v Racing Santander

 LaLigaSat 19 Sept 16:30 UTCBalaidosFinished

Celta Vigo v Racing Santander tips

CELCelta VigoLDDDL
5 : 0
RACRacing SantanderLWLWL
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.67★★★★2 starsWon

Goals look likely here because both sides carry mixed defensive records into this fixture at Balaidos. We expect an open match where the total line of 2.5 gets beaten.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$33.4
Profit$13.4
Why it might land
  • The total goals market sets the over line at a fair price of 1.67 given how both teams concede goals in their recent fixtures.
  • Celta Vigo enter this match on a run of form that includes consecutive defeats where their back line failed to keep clean sheets.
  • Racing Santander arrive after a mixed sequence of results including a recent draw and defeat that highlight defensive vulnerabilities.
Why it might not
  • Celta Vigo recorded three consecutive draws before their recent losses which suggests they can sometimes struggle to break opponents down.
  • Racing Santander have alternated between wins and losses in their last five matches making their true scoring level hard to trust.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookLost

Both squads show enough inconsistency at the back to suggest each side will find the net at Balaidos.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Celta Vigo the side to beat here at 53%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Goals look likely here because both sides carry mixed defensive records into this fixture at Balaidos. We expect an open match where the total line of 2.5 gets beaten.

Form and momentum

Celta Vigo come in patchy, winning 35% of 40 on record. 6 of their 18 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Racing Santander come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 53% for CEL, 23% for the draw and 23% for RAC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Celta Vigo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.67, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Celta Vigo recorded three consecutive draws before their recent losses which suggests they can sometimes struggle to break opponents down.
  • Racing Santander have alternated between wins and losses in their last five matches making their true scoring level hard to trust.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCEL -130
CEL1.77draw4.00RAC4.00

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CELCelta Vigo40 games on record
Won14
Drawn12
Lost14
  • Scored52and let in49
  • At home6 winsfrom18
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLDDDL
RACRacing Santander6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored11and let in16
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLWL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Goals in Celta Vigo versus Racing Santander?

Goals look likely here because both sides carry mixed defensive records into this fixture at Balaidos. Celta recorded three consecutive draws before their recent losses which suggests they can sometim...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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