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Betting tips › Europa League ›  Celta Vigo v Juventus

 Europa LeagueThu 15 Oct 19:00 UTCBalaidos

Celta Vigo v Juventus tips

CELCelta VigoWLDDD
VS
JUVJuventusWWLDW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.91★★★★2 stars

Juventus arrive in solid shape with four wins from their last six matches while Celta Vigo have drawn three times recently. Expect an open game at Balaidos where the line for goals offers better value than picking a winner.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$38.2
Profit$18.2
Why it might land
  • Juventus show strong recent form with four wins and only one defeat from their previous six matches overall.
  • Celta Vigo have proven hard to beat recently by drawing three of their last five matches in all competitions.
  • The price of 1.91 for over 2.5 total goals gives us a very fair return for a match that could open up.
Why it might not
  • Celta Vigo have also recorded a recent loss in their last five matches which shows they can struggle defensively.
  • Juventus lost one of their recent outings so they are not entirely foolproof when playing away from home.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams should find the net given that Celta Vigo draw often and Juventus win more matches than they lose.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Juventus the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Juventus arrive in solid shape with four wins from their last six matches while Celta Vigo have drawn three times recently. Expect an open game at Balaidos where the line for goals offers better value than picking a winner.

Form and momentum

Celta Vigo come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Juventus come in solid, winning 55% of 40 on record. 9 of their 19 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for CEL, 28% for the draw and 46% for JUV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Juventus, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.91, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Celta Vigo have also recorded a recent loss in their last five matches which shows they can struggle defensively.
  • Juventus lost one of their recent outings so they are not entirely foolproof when playing away from home.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
CEL3.30draw3.40JUV2.10
SourceDraftKingsJUV +105
CEL3.50draw3.40JUV2.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CELCelta Vigo40 games on record
Won15
Drawn11
Lost14
  • Scored56and let in48
  • At home7 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDD
JUVJuventus40 games on record
Won22
Drawn11
Lost7
  • Scored72and let in37
  • On the road9 winsfrom19
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Celta Vigo v Juventus goals or draw?

The site model calls the draw here. Juve have four wins from six while Celta have three recent draws. The worry is that Celta lost one of their last five and look shaky at the back. What are you lot b...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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