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Betting tips › LaLiga ›  Celta Vigo v Alavés

 LaLigaSun 18 Oct 14:15 UTCBalaidos

Celta Vigo v Alavés tips

CELCelta VigoWLDDD
VS
ALAAlavésDLLWW
The model callCelta VigoMatch result2.00★★★★2 stars

Celta Vigo return to Balaidos wanting to turn recent draws into a proper win against Alaves. The price of 2.00 offers a solid enough angle despite some mixed recent form.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$40
Profit$20
Why it might land
  • Celta Vigo play at home in Balaidos where they will try to improve after picking up three draws in their last five matches.
  • The bookmakers offer Celta Vigo at an even money price of 2.00 to win this specific LaLiga fixture outright.
  • Alaves travel away following a mixed run of results that includes two recent defeats alongside two wins.
Why it might not
  • Celta Vigo have been struggling to turn one point into three after recording three consecutive draws recently.
  • Alaves arrive with momentum from winning two of their last five matches which makes them tricky opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Neither side has shown a consistent goalscoring touch in their recent five league outings.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69

The under on 2.5 goals is priced at 1.69 because both sides have shown plenty of tight matches recently.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Celta Vigo the side to beat here at 47%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Celta Vigo, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Celta Vigo return to Balaidos wanting to turn recent draws into a proper win against Alaves. The price of 2.00 offers a solid enough angle despite some mixed recent form.

Form and momentum

Celta Vigo come in patchy, winning 38% of 40 on record. 7 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Alavés come in poor, winning 30% of 40 on record. 3 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 47% for CEL, 28% for the draw and 25% for ALA once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Celta Vigo, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

These two have been level across 2 past meetings, 1 wins each and 0 drawn. Nothing in the history separates them.

Where it could go wrong
  • Celta Vigo have been struggling to turn one point into three after recording three consecutive draws recently.
  • Alaves arrive with momentum from winning two of their last five matches which makes them tricky opponents.
The bottom line

We back Celta Vigo for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCEL +100
CEL2.00draw3.35ALA3.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CELCelta Vigo40 games on record
Won15
Drawn11
Lost14
  • Scored56and let in48
  • At home7 winsfrom19
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDDD
ALAAlavés40 games on record
Won12
Drawn11
Lost17
  • Scored50and let in57
  • On the road3 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1CEL wins
0drawn
1ALA wins
  • Celta Vigo 3 : 4 Alavés22 Mar 2026 · LaLiga
  • Alavés 0 : 1 Celta Vigo22 Nov 2025 · LaLiga

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Celta Vigo v Alaves thoughts?

Celta are back at home wanting to turn recent draws into a proper win and the site model likes them at 2.00. The worry is they have struggled to turn one point into three after three draws in a row. W...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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