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Betting tips › Brazil Serie B ›  Ceará v Novorizontino

 Brazil Serie BFri 18 Sept 23:30 UTCArena CastelãoFinished

Ceará v Novorizontino tips

CEACearáDLWLW
2 : 1
NOVNovorizontinoDWWWW
The model callNovorizontinoMatch result2.40★★★★2 starsLost

Novorizontino arrive in formidable form and look well priced to secure another victory on the road against Ceara. The visitors hold a strong advantage in recent results and can exploit any inconsistencies in the home side.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$48
Profit$28
Why it might land
  • Novorizontino enter this fixture after putting together an impressive run of four consecutive victories and one draw in their last five matches.
  • The market offers a generous price of.240 for Novorizontino to win away from home given their dominant recent form.
  • Ceara have struggled to find consistency over the same period with a mixed sequence that includes two wins and two defeats.
Why it might not
  • Ceara will have the backing of playing at home inside the Arena Castelao where they can always raise their competitive level.
  • Novorizontino might find it difficult to maintain their winning momentum on hostile territory against a desperate home team.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both teams possess enough attacking quality in this division to find the back of the net over ninety minutes.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice 1.69Lost

Neither side has shown an overwhelming tendency to blow opponents away in recent weeks so a tight game is expected.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Novorizontino the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Novorizontino, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Novorizontino arrive in formidable form and look well priced to secure another victory on the road against Ceara. The visitors hold a strong advantage in recent results and can exploit any inconsistencies in the home side.

Form and momentum

Ceará come in patchy, winning 33% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Novorizontino come in strong, winning 83% of 6 on record. 2 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 33% for CEA, 29% for the draw and 38% for NOV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.40, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Ceara will have the backing of playing at home inside the Arena Castelao where they can always raise their competitive level.
  • Novorizontino might find it difficult to maintain their winning momentum on hostile territory against a desperate home team.
The bottom line

We back Novorizontino for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsNOV +140
CEA2.80draw3.20NOV2.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CEACeará6 games on record
Won2
Drawn1
Lost3
  • Scored6and let in8
  • At home2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWLW
NOVNovorizontino6 games on record
Won5
Drawn1
Lost0
  • Scored16and let in5
  • On the road2 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWWWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Ceara or Novorizontino tonight?

The site model goes for Novorizontino because they arrive in formidable form and look well priced for an away win. Ceara will have the backing of playing at home inside the Arena Castelao where they c...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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