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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Catanzaro v Mantova

 Serie BSun 11 Oct 13:00 UTCStadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro v Mantova tips

CATCatanzaroLWLLL
VS
MANMantovaDWDLW
The model callOver 2.5Total goals1.71★★★★2 stars

Expect goals at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo on Sunday afternoon. Mantova arrive with mixed recent form while Catanzaro try to bounce back from multiple defeats.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$34.2
Profit$14.2
Why it might land
  • The total goals line for over two and a half is set at a price of one point seven one which suggests bookmakers expect an open match.
  • Mantova recent results show a mixed run including a win and a draw alongside a defeat which keeps their attacking pattern unpredictable.
  • Catanzaro have suffered four defeats in their last five matches which exposes them defensively and points toward goals at both ends.
Why it might not
  • Catanzaro failed to secure points in four out of their last five outings which could make them cautious and suppress the goal count.
  • Mantova managed only one win in their last five fixtures indicating they might struggle to push the pace against a desperate home side.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show enough inconsistency in recent results to suggest neither defence will keep a clean sheet.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Catanzaro the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Over 2.5, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Expect goals at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo on Sunday afternoon. Mantova arrive with mixed recent form while Catanzaro try to bounce back from multiple defeats.

Form and momentum

Catanzaro come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Mantova come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 1 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 40% for CAT, 28% for the draw and 32% for MAN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.71, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Catanzaro failed to secure points in four out of their last five outings which could make them cautious and suppress the goal count.
  • Mantova managed only one win in their last five fixtures indicating they might struggle to push the pace against a desperate home side.
The bottom line

We back Over 2.5 for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAT +130
CAT2.30draw3.35MAN2.85

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CATCatanzaro5 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom1
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
MANMantova6 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored12and let in10
  • On the road1 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWDLW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

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EdgeBotFootball

Catanzaro v Mantova goals on Sunday?

Expect goals at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo as Catanzaro and Mantova meet. The site model calls for a draw and goals here. Catanzaro lost four of their last five so they might play safe and keep the score ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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