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Betting tips › Serie B ›  Catanzaro v Ascoli

 Serie BSat 24 Oct 15:15 UTCStadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro v Ascoli tips

CATCatanzaroLWLLL
VS
ASCAscoliWLWDW
The model callAscoliMatch result2.80★★★★2 stars

Ascoli arrives with much better momentum than the hosts. Catanzaro has lost four of their last five matches.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$56
Profit$36
Why it might land
  • Ascoli comes into this fixture holding a strong recent run of form that includes three wins from their last five league outings.
  • Catanzaro is struggling badly on the pitch right now after suffering four defeats in their last five matches overall.
  • The bookmakers offer a very tempting price of 2.80 for the away win given the stark contrast in recent results.
Why it might not
  • Ascoli has to play away from home at the Stadio Nicola Ceravolo where Catanzaro will have massive local backing.
  • The visitors did stumble recently with a loss against their name in that five match sequence which keeps some doubt alive.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both sides show enough volatility in their recent results to suggest a goal at each end.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We lack official pricing for the goals line so staying cautious makes sense.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Catanzaro the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Ascoli, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Ascoli arrives with much better momentum than the hosts. Catanzaro has lost four of their last five matches.

Form and momentum

Catanzaro come in poor, winning 20% of 5 on record. 1 of their 1 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Ascoli come in strong, winning 60% of 5 on record. 1 of their 2 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 38% for CAT, 29% for the draw and 33% for ASC once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Ascoli has to play away from home at the Stadio Nicola Ceravolo where Catanzaro will have massive local backing.
  • The visitors did stumble recently with a loss against their name in that five match sequence which keeps some doubt alive.
The bottom line

We back Ascoli for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAT +145
CAT2.45draw3.25ASC2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CATCatanzaro5 games on record
Won1
Drawn0
Lost4
  • Scored5and let in9
  • At home1 winsfrom1
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWLLL
ASCAscoli5 games on record
Won3
Drawn1
Lost1
  • Scored7and let in4
  • On the road1 winsfrom2
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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