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Betting tips › National League ›  Carlisle United v Forest Green Rovers

 National LeagueTue 15 Sept 18:45 UTCBrunton ParkFinished

Carlisle United v Forest Green Rovers tips

CARCarlisle UnitedDLWDW
1 : 1
FGRForest Green RoversWWLLL
The model callCarlisle UnitedMatch result1.95★★★★2 starsLost

Carlisle United hold a solid run of form at Brunton Park while Forest Green Rovers arrive after three straight defeats. The home side looks good value at a price of 1.95 to secure another win.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$39
Profit$19
Why it might land
  • Carlisle United enter this fixture with strong momentum having taken three wins and two draws from their last five matches across the National League.
  • Forest Green Rovers are struggling badly on the road after picking up three consecutive defeats in their most recent outings.
  • The available price of 1.95 for a Carlisle United home win offers fair value given the contrasting recent form of both clubs.
Why it might not
  • Carlisle United were held to a draw in their very last match which shows they can sometimes drop points against stubborn opposition.
  • Forest Green Rovers did manage two wins immediately before their current losing streak so they are capable of an upset on their day.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by bookLost

Forest Green Rovers have failed to find any scoring rhythm during their recent run of three losses.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice 1.59Won

Backing under 1.5 goals at 1.59 makes sense because neither side has shown enough consistent attacking flair recently to clear a high line of 3.5.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Carlisle United the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Carlisle United, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Carlisle United hold a solid run of form at Brunton Park while Forest Green Rovers arrive after three straight defeats. The home side looks good value at a price of 1.95 to secure another win.

Form and momentum

Carlisle United come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Forest Green Rovers come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for CAR, 25% for the draw and 29% for FGR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Carlisle United, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.95, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Carlisle United were held to a draw in their very last match which shows they can sometimes drop points against stubborn opposition.
  • Forest Green Rovers did manage two wins immediately before their current losing streak so they are capable of an upset on their day.
The bottom line

We back Carlisle United for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAR +100
CAR2.00draw3.65FGR3.10

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CARCarlisle United7 games on record
Won2
Drawn3
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in12
  • At home2 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLWDW
FGRForest Green Rovers7 games on record
Won4
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored11and let in10
  • On the road2 winsfrom3
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Carlisle or Forest Green tonight

The site model goes for Carlisle at evens because their home form is decent and Forest Green lost their last three. The catch is Carlisle drew their most recent game against stubborn opponents. What a...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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