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Betting tips › Championship ›  Cardiff City v Stoke City

 ChampionshipTue 8 Sept 18:45 UTCCardiff City StadiumFinished

Cardiff City v Stoke City tips

CARCardiff CityLLDLD
1 : 1
STKStoke CityWWLDL
The model callStoke CityMatch result3.05★★★★1 starLost

Stoke have built momentum with two straight wins after a tough spell. Cardiff are winless in five and look vulnerable even on home soil.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$30.5
Profit$20.5
Why it might land
  • Stoke come into this fixture on the back of consecutive victories.
  • Cardiff are without a win in their last five league matches.
  • The away price offers decent value against an out of form side.
Why it might not
  • Cardiff have home advantage under the lights in South Wales.
  • Stoke suffered three straight defeats prior to their recent mini revival.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by bookWon

Both sides struggle to keep clean sheets based on their recent results.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice 1.59Lost

Cardiff cannot stop losing and Stoke bring mixed form so goals are likely.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cardiff City the side to beat here at 46%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Stoke City, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. Stoke have built momentum with two straight wins after a tough spell. Cardiff are winless in five and look vulnerable even on home soil.

Form and momentum

Cardiff City come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 12 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 losss in a row.

Stoke City come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 4 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 46% for CAR, 26% for the draw and 29% for STK once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Cardiff City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 3.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cardiff have home advantage under the lights in South Wales.
  • Stoke suffered three straight defeats prior to their recent mini revival.
The bottom line

We back Stoke City for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAR +110
CAR2.10draw3.75STK3.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CARCardiff City40 games on record
Won19
Drawn10
Lost11
  • Scored71and let in51
  • At home12 winsfrom21
  • Right now2 losss in a row
Last fiveLLDLD
STKStoke City40 games on record
Won13
Drawn9
Lost18
  • Scored47and let in50
  • On the road4 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWLDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Stoke at Cardiff tonight?

Stoke come here with two wins on the bounce after a rough patch while Cardiff are winless in five and look shaky at home. On the other hand Cardiff have home advantage under the lights in South Wales....

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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