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Betting tips › Championship ›  Cardiff City v Burnley

 ChampionshipSat 7 Nov 15:00 UTCCardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City v Burnley tips

CARCardiff CityWLDLL
VS
BURBurnleyDLDLD
The model callUnder 3Total goals1.80★★★★1 star

This match looks tight because both sides struggle for goals and wins lately. The price on under 3 goals at one point eight zero gives us a fair option to consider.

Stake1 unit
That is$10
Returns$18
Profit$8
Why it might land
  • Burnley enter this fixture following consecutive draws in their most recent league outings where scoring was clearly at a premium.
  • Cardiff City show a poor recent run containing three losses and one draw from five matches which hurts their attacking output.
  • The odds makers price under three goals at one point eight zero which suggests a low scoring game is expected at Cardiff City Stadium.
Why it might not
  • Cardiff City did manage a victory within their last five fixtures which proves they can occasionally find the back of the net.
  • Burnley have been held to draws and losses without showing consistent dominance over opponents during their recent run of matches.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Both teams bring weak scoring form into this clash which makes a clean sheet likely for someone.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cardiff City the side to beat here at 41%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Under 3, and it backs that with a 1 unit stake. This match looks tight because both sides struggle for goals and wins lately. The price on under 3 goals at one point eight zero gives us a fair option to consider.

Form and momentum

Cardiff City come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 13 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Burnley come in poor, winning 8% of 40 on record. 2 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 41% for CAR, 25% for the draw and 33% for BUR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 1.80, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cardiff City did manage a victory within their last five fixtures which proves they can occasionally find the back of the net.
  • Burnley have been held to draws and losses without showing consistent dominance over opponents during their recent run of matches.
The bottom line

We back Under 3 for 1 unit. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
CAR2.20draw3.60BUR2.75

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CARCardiff City40 games on record
Won19
Drawn11
Lost10
  • Scored72and let in50
  • At home13 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLL
BURBurnley40 games on record
Won3
Drawn14
Lost23
  • Scored40and let in77
  • On the road2 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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