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Betting tips › Championship ›  Cardiff City v Birmingham City

 ChampionshipSat 24 Oct 14:00 UTCCardiff City Stadium

Cardiff City v Birmingham City tips

CARCardiff CityWLDLL
VS
BIRBirmingham CityDWLDD
The model callBirmingham CityMatch result2.50★★★★2 stars

Birmingham City arrive with a steadier recent run of results than their hosts. The betting odds have them slightly favored at 2.50 to take all three points.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$50
Profit$30
Why it might land
  • Birmingham City managed to avoid defeat in three of their last five matches including a solid win and two draws.
  • Cardiff City head into this fixture having lost three of their last five outings in a difficult run of form.
  • The market prices Birmingham City at 2.50 to win which offers decent value given the contrasting recent form of both sides.
Why it might not
  • Birmingham City have also recorded a recent loss in their last five games showing they are far from invincible on the road.
  • Cardiff City will have home advantage at Cardiff City Stadium which always gives them a fighting chance to turn things around.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough defensive vulnerability in their recent results to suggest neither will keep a clean sheet.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

The total goals line is set at 2.5 but prices are not currently available for this market.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Birmingham City the side to beat here at 38%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Birmingham City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Birmingham City arrive with a steadier recent run of results than their hosts. The betting odds have them slightly favored at 2.50 to take all three points.

Form and momentum

Cardiff City come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 13 of their 21 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

Birmingham City come in patchy, winning 33% of 40 on record. 6 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 36% for CAR, 26% for the draw and 38% for BIR once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.50, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Birmingham City have also recorded a recent loss in their last five games showing they are far from invincible on the road.
  • Cardiff City will have home advantage at Cardiff City Stadium which always gives them a fighting chance to turn things around.
The bottom line

We back Birmingham City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
CAR2.55draw3.70BIR2.45
SourceDraftKingsBIR +150
CAR2.65draw3.75BIR2.50

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CARCardiff City40 games on record
Won19
Drawn11
Lost10
  • Scored72and let in50
  • At home13 winsfrom21
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLDLL
BIRBirmingham City40 games on record
Won13
Drawn13
Lost14
  • Scored52and let in55
  • On the road6 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLDD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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