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Betting tips › Liga de Expansion ›  Cancún FC v Venados FC

 Liga de ExpansionSun 18 Oct 01:00 UTCEstadio Andrés Quintana Roo

Cancún FC v Venados FC tips

CANCancún FCLWDDW
VS
VENVenados FCWLWLL
The model callCancún FCMatch result1.87★★★★2 stars

Cancun play at home and hold a better recent run than their opponents. Venados travel with inconsistent form and inconsistent results behind them.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$37.4
Profit$17.4
Why it might land
  • Cancun bring a solid run of form into this match with two wins and two draws from their last five outings.
  • The hosts are priced at a backable 1.87 to win this fixture at Estadio Andres Quintana Roo on Sunday.
  • Venados arrive after losing three of their last five matches which shows they are vulnerable on the road.
Why it might not
  • Cancun did suffer a defeat recently which proves they can lose games if their defensive concentration drops.
  • Venados managed to pick up two wins in their last five attempts so they remain capable of causing an upset.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

One team might struggle to break through based on their recent scoring troubles.

Total goalsUnder 3.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both sides often keep matches tight and the goal line sits high at 3.5 goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Cancún FC the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Cancún FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Cancun play at home and hold a better recent run than their opponents. Venados travel with inconsistent form and inconsistent results behind them.

Form and momentum

Cancún FC come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 3 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Venados FC come in solid, winning 50% of 6 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 48% for CAN, 25% for the draw and 27% for VEN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Cancún FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 1.87, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • Cancun did suffer a defeat recently which proves they can lose games if their defensive concentration drops.
  • Venados managed to pick up two wins in their last five attempts so they remain capable of causing an upset.
The bottom line

We back Cancún FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsCAN -115
CAN1.87draw3.65VEN3.40

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CANCancún FC7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored15and let in9
  • At home2 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 loss in a row
Last fiveLWDDW
VENVenados FC6 games on record
Won3
Drawn0
Lost3
  • Scored16and let in12
  • On the road0 winsfrom3
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWLL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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