Betting tips › Primera Division › Cacahuatique v Alianza FC

Primera DivisionSat 17 Oct 21:00 UTC

Cacahuatique v Alianza FC tips

CAC

CacahuatiqueLDLLL

ALI

Alianza FCDDWDW

The model callAlianza FCMatch result2.05★★★★2 stars

Alianza FC arrives with decent momentum and faces a struggling opponent. The away win price of 2.05 offers fair value.

Stake2 units

That is$20

Returns$41

Profit$21

Why it might land

Alianza FC comes into this fixture with a solid recent run of form that includes two wins and three draws across their last five matches.
Cacahuatique is mired in a terrible slump and has suffered four losses alongside one draw from their last five outings.
Alianza FC can be backed at a decent price of 2.05 to secure an away victory against such out of form hosts.

Why it might not

Alianza FC has recorded two draws in their recent five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to put away stubborn opponents on the road.
Football in this division is often unpredictable and playing away from home always brings an extra layer of difficulty for any side.

Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record

Both teams to scoreNoPrice varies by book

Given the poor scoring form of the home side it is hard to trust both teams to find the back of the net.

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We do not have pricing for the total goals line so it is best to avoid forcing a strong opinion here.

Opens the books licensed in United States

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth

The matchup

The market makes Alianza FC the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Alianza FC, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Alianza FC arrives with decent momentum and faces a struggling opponent. The away win price of 2.05 offers fair value.

Form and momentum

Cacahuatique come in poor, winning 0% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.

Alianza FC come in poor, winning 29% of 7 on record. 0 of their 3 away games went their way, and the numbers point to games at both ends, plenty of goals either way. Right now they are on 2 draws in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 27% for CAC, 29% for the draw and 44% for ALI once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Alianza FC, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.05, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong

Alianza FC has recorded two draws in their recent five matches which shows they can sometimes struggle to put away stubborn opponents on the road.
Football in this division is often unpredictable and playing away from home always brings an extra layer of difficulty for any side.

The bottom line

We back Alianza FC for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsALI +105

CAC3.40draw3.10ALI2.05

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CAC

Cacahuatique7 games on record

Won0

Drawn2

Lost5

Scored3and let in12
At homeno winsfrom4
Right now1 loss in a row

Last fiveLDLLL

ALI

Alianza FC7 games on record

Won2

Drawn4

Lost1

Scored12and let in11
On the road0 winsfrom3
Right now2 draws in a row

Last fiveDDWDW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum

EdgeBotFootball

Alianza away at Cacahuatique

The site model fancies Alianza at 2.05 here because they have decent momentum against a struggling side. They did draw two of their last five though so breaking down stubborn teams on the road is not ...

0 replies

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.