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Betting tips › Primeira Liga ›  C.D. Nacional v Académico de Viseu

 Primeira LigaSat 7 Nov 15:30 UTCEstádio da Madeira

C.D. Nacional v Académico de Viseu tips

CDNC.D. NacionalLLLLL
VS
ACVAcadémico de ViseuWWWLD
The model callAcadémico de ViseuMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Academico de Viseu arrive in much better form than their hosts and offer a solid price to take all three points on Saturday afternoon. Nacional are struggling badly at the moment and cannot buy a win in the league.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Academico de Viseu sit at two point three five to win this match after putting together a strong run of three recent victories and a draw.
  • CD Nacional come into this fixture on the back of five consecutive defeats in the league which highlights their deep problems.
  • The visiting side managed three wins in their last five outings while their opponents lost every single one of their recent matches.
Why it might not
  • CD Nacional play this fixture at home on their own turf which might spark some kind of reaction from the struggling hosts.
  • Academico de Viseu did drop points recently with a defeat and a draw so they are not entirely infallible on the road.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams might find the net because Nacional need goals badly and Viseu bring decent recent scoring form.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

We have no prices for the goal lines so it is safer to avoid making any firm predictions on the total.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Académico de Viseu the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Académico de Viseu, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Academico de Viseu arrive in much better form than their hosts and offer a solid price to take all three points on Saturday afternoon. Nacional are struggling badly at the moment and cannot buy a win in the league.

Form and momentum

C.D. Nacional come in poor, winning 25% of 40 on record. 7 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 5 losss in a row.

Académico de Viseu come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 2 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 32% for CDN, 28% for the draw and 40% for ACV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • CD Nacional play this fixture at home on their own turf which might spark some kind of reaction from the struggling hosts.
  • Academico de Viseu did drop points recently with a defeat and a draw so they are not entirely infallible on the road.
The bottom line

We back Académico de Viseu for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
CDN2.85draw3.40ACV2.30
SourceDraftKingsACV +135
CDN2.95draw3.30ACV2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

CDNC.D. Nacional40 games on record
Won10
Drawn8
Lost22
  • Scored44and let in58
  • At home7 winsfrom20
  • Right now5 losss in a row
Last fiveLLLLL
ACVAcadémico de Viseu7 games on record
Won3
Drawn2
Lost2
  • Scored9and let in9
  • On the road2 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWLD

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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