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Betting tips › Championship ›  Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers

 ChampionshipFri 16 Oct 19:00 UTCTurf Moor

Burnley v Wolverhampton Wanderers tips

BURBurnleyDLDLD
VS
WOLWolverhampton WanderersWLWDL
The model callWolverhampton WanderersMatch result2.15★★★★2 stars

Wolves look better positioned to take three points at Turf Moor despite a mixed recent run. Burnley keep sharing the spoils too often and struggle to turn draws into victories.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$43
Profit$23
Why it might land
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers are priced at 2.15 to win this match which offers fair value on the road.
  • The visitors have mixed results including a recent win that shows they can find the net.
  • Burnley have been stuck in a frustrating sequence of draws and losses without finding a reliable spark.
Why it might not
  • Wolves suffered a recent loss which proves they are far from bulletproof away from home.
  • Burnley managed to draw their most recent outing which shows they are stubborn enough to frustrate opponents.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Neither side has kept a clean sheet consistently through their respective sequences of recent matches.

Total goalsOver 2.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams show mixed defensive reliability in their recent form guides which keeps the door open for goals.

Opens the books licensed in United States
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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Wolverhampton Wanderers the side to beat here at 44%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Wolverhampton Wanderers, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Wolves look better positioned to take three points at Turf Moor despite a mixed recent run. Burnley keep sharing the spoils too often and struggle to turn draws into victories.

Form and momentum

Burnley come in poor, winning 8% of 40 on record. 1 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

Wolverhampton Wanderers come in poor, winning 20% of 40 on record. 3 of their 22 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 29% for BUR, 27% for the draw and 44% for WOL once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Wolverhampton Wanderers, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.15, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings BUR hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Wolves suffered a recent loss which proves they are far from bulletproof away from home.
  • Burnley managed to draw their most recent outing which shows they are stubborn enough to frustrate opponents.
The bottom line

We back Wolverhampton Wanderers for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
BUR3.25draw3.60WOL2.05
SourceDraftKingsWOL +115
BUR3.30draw3.60WOL2.15

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BURBurnley40 games on record
Won3
Drawn14
Lost23
  • Scored40and let in77
  • At home1 winsfrom20
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDLDLD
WOLWolverhampton Wanderers40 games on record
Won8
Drawn11
Lost21
  • Scored39and let in65
  • On the road3 winsfrom22
  • Right now1 win in a row
Last fiveWLWDL

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1BUR wins
1drawn
0WOL wins
  • Burnley 1 : 1 Wolverhampton Wanderers24 May 2026 · Premier League
  • Wolverhampton Wanderers 2 : 3 Burnley26 Oct 2025 · Premier League

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Burnley or Wolves at Turf Moor?

Wolves are priced at 2.15 to grab the win here because Burnley draw far too many matches. That said, Wolves lost their last away match so they are hardly bulletproof on the road. The site model calls ...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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