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Betting tips › LaLiga 2 ›  Burgos v CD Sabadell

 LaLiga 2Sun 18 Oct 19:00 UTCEstadio Municipal de El Plantío

Burgos v CD Sabadell tips

BURBurgosWWWDD
VS
CDSCD SabadellDWLWW
The model callBurgosMatch result2.65★★★★2 stars

Burgos enter this fixture with strong momentum at El Plantio and look well placed to edge past Sabadell. The home side can utilize their solid recent form to secure all three points at a decent price.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$53
Profit$33
Why it might land
  • Burgos come into this weekend match with a very strong run of recent form that includes three wins and two draws from their last five outings.
  • Playing at home inside Estadio Municipal de El Plantio gives Burgos a clear advantage against visitors who have shown mixed results recently.
  • The bookmakers offer a tempting price of.65 for Burgos to win which provides enough value to back the home side on Sunday evening.
Why it might not
  • CD Sabadell travel to this stadium having won four of their last five matches which shows they possess enough quality to cause real trouble.
  • Burgos were held to draws in their final two recent fixtures and might struggle to break down a resilient Sabadell defense on the night.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

CD Sabadell have found the net regularly in their recent matches and Burgos look capable of scoring at home.

Total goalsOver 1.5 goalsPrice varies by book

Both teams bring decent scoring momentum into this game which suggests we might see at least two goals scored.

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This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Burgos the side to beat here at 35%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Burgos, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Burgos enter this fixture with strong momentum at El Plantio and look well placed to edge past Sabadell. The home side can utilize their solid recent form to secure all three points at a decent price.

Form and momentum

Burgos come in solid, winning 57% of 7 on record. 3 of their 4 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 3 wins in a row.

CD Sabadell come in patchy, winning 43% of 7 on record. 0 of their 4 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side built on a tight back line. Right now they are on 1 draw in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 35% for BUR, 31% for the draw and 33% for CDS once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.65, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

Where it could go wrong
  • CD Sabadell travel to this stadium having won four of their last five matches which shows they possess enough quality to cause real trouble.
  • Burgos were held to draws in their final two recent fixtures and might struggle to break down a resilient Sabadell defense on the night.
The bottom line

We back Burgos for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceDraftKingsBUR +165
BUR2.65draw3.00CDS2.80

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BURBurgos7 games on record
Won4
Drawn2
Lost1
  • Scored11and let in7
  • At home3 winsfrom4
  • Right now3 wins in a row
Last fiveWWWDD
CDSCD Sabadell7 games on record
Won3
Drawn3
Lost1
  • Scored8and let in6
  • On the road0 winsfrom4
  • Right now1 draw in a row
Last fiveDWLWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Burgos or Sabadell tonight?

The site model fancies Burgos to win at home today because of their strong recent form at El Plantio. Sabadell are on a good run though with four wins from their last five games. What are you all back...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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