The matchupThe market makes Bristol City the side to beat here at 48%, which gives this game a clear shape before a ball is kicked. Our model lands on Bristol City, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Bristol City have the momentum from three recent wins and home advantage at Ashton Gate. Lincoln City put together some mixed results lately which makes this a tough trip.
Form and momentumBristol City come in patchy, winning 40% of 40 on record. 8 of their 19 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a fairly even scoring record. Right now they are on 1 loss in a row.
Lincoln City come in strong, winning 63% of 40 on record. 11 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 1 win in a row.
The price and the valueThe prices turn into 48% for BRC, 27% for the draw and 26% for LCN once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. That is a firm lean toward Bristol City, so the question is whether the form backs the price or quietly argues against it. Our call sits at 2.00, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.
Where it could go wrong- Lincoln City managed to secure a solid victory in their most recent outing which shows they can cause trouble.
- Bristol City stumbled to a defeat either side of their winning run and also picked up a recent draw.
The bottom lineWe back Bristol City for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.