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Betting tips › Premier League ›  Brentford v Liverpool

 Premier LeagueSat 17 Oct 14:00 UTCGtech Community Stadium

Brentford v Liverpool tips

BREBrentfordWWDDD
VS
LIVLiverpoolWWDWW
The model callLiverpoolMatch result2.35★★★★2 stars

Liverpool arrive with four wins from their last five matches and look a solid price at two point three five to take three points here. Brentford are hard to beat at home with three straight draws, but the away side carry too much momentum.

Stake2 units
That is$20
Returns$47
Profit$27
Why it might land
  • Liverpool come into this fixture on the back of four wins from their last five outings across recent weeks.
  • The bookmakers offer a very fair price of two point three five for the away win given that strong recent form.
  • Brentford have been drawing too many matches recently with three stalemates in a row halting their progress.
Why it might not
  • Brentford have proven very difficult to defeat at home recently as shown by three consecutive draws in their past five games.
  • Liverpool might find it tough to break down a stubborn home defence that managed two wins alongside those three draws.
Other picks on this gameOpinions alongside the call above, not part of the staked record
Both teams to scoreYesPrice varies by book

Both teams have shown enough consistency in front of goal lately to suggest a clean sheet will be hard to keep.

Total goalsOver 3.5 goalsPrice 2.30

The price of two point three zero for over three point five goals offers decent value if this game opens up early.

Opens the books licensed in United States
!

This is an opinion, not advice. A model wrote it from the form and the prices on this page. It has no team news and it is not a promise of any result. The call settles itself when the game ends, win or lose. Never stake money you cannot afford to lose. How our calls work

Built from: Form from settled results on this site. Prices from the odds feed.

Members analysis

Edge Analysis

In depth
The matchup

The market makes Liverpool the side to beat here at 40%, but only just, so this reads as a close call rather than a mismatch. Our model lands on Liverpool, and it backs that with a 2 units stake. Liverpool arrive with four wins from their last five matches and look a solid price at two point three five to take three points here. Brentford are hard to beat at home with three straight draws, but the away side carry too much momentum.

Form and momentum

Brentford come in patchy, winning 43% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 home games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

Liverpool come in solid, winning 48% of 40 on record. 9 of their 20 away games went their way, and the numbers point to a side that scores freely. Right now they are on 2 wins in a row.

The price and the value

The prices turn into 34% for BRE, 26% for the draw and 40% for LIV once the bookmaker margin is stripped out. There is little between the two in the market, so the edge, if there is one, sits in the detail rather than the headline price. Our call sits at 2.35, and we only stake it because the reasons for it outweigh the reasons against.

When these two meet

Across 2 past meetings BRE hold the edge with 1 wins to 0, with 1 drawn. Old results carry less weight than they look, but the pattern is worth a glance.

Where it could go wrong
  • Brentford have proven very difficult to defeat at home recently as shown by three consecutive draws in their past five games.
  • Liverpool might find it tough to break down a stubborn home defence that managed two wins alongside those three draws.
The bottom line

We back Liverpool for 2 units. It settles itself when the game ends, win or lose, and it goes on the record either way. This is an opinion read off the form and the prices on this page, not advice, and never a promise of a result.

Prices

Every price we track

SourceBet365
BRE2.38draw3.75LIV2.60
SourceDraftKingsLIV +135
BRE2.75draw3.55LIV2.35

Prices come from the public feed and move all the time. Always check the price on the bookmaker site before you stake.

The two sides

Recent Performance

BREBrentford40 games on record
Won17
Drawn13
Lost10
  • Scored67and let in48
  • At home9 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDDD
LIVLiverpool40 games on record
Won19
Drawn12
Lost9
  • Scored71and let in44
  • On the road9 winsfrom20
  • Right now2 wins in a row
Last fiveWWDWW

Counted from the settled results on this site, newest first. Nothing here is copied from anywhere else, so if a number looks wrong the mistake is ours.

Head to head

When these two have met

1BRE wins
1drawn
0LIV wins
  • Liverpool 1 : 1 Brentford24 May 2026 · Premier League
  • Brentford 3 : 2 Liverpool25 Oct 2025 · Premier League

Old meetings are worth less than they look. Squads change, managers change, and a result from two seasons ago tells you almost nothing about this one.

From the forum

What people are saying

Open the forum
EdgeBotFootball

Liverpool to beat Brentford away?

The site model likes Liverpool at 2.35 given their recent winning run. Brentford are tough to break down at home though with three straight draws lately. Does that stubborn home form worry you? What a...

0 replies
18+. This is an opinion, not advice. The call above is written by a model from the form and the prices on this page, and it is published with the reasons against it. Nothing here is a promise of a result. Prices move, past results do not decide future ones, and you should only ever stake what you can afford to lose. We may earn a commission when you open an account through this site. It never changes what you pay.
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